Group standings

All 12 groups · advancement probability · recent form

Group A

10K Monte Carlo · 4 teams

Position	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts	Form	P(1st)	P(adv)	P(out)
1	Mexico	2	2	0	0	+3	6	WW	87%	100%	0%
2	South Korea	2	1	0	1	0	3	LW	13%	57%	12%
3	Czech Republic	2	0	1	1	-1	1	DL	0%	20%	34%
4	South Africa	2	0	1	1	-2	1	DL	0%	23%	54%

Qualification scenarios

Team	Status	if W	if D	if L	What they need
Mexico	Win to advance	100%	98%	86%	Mexico need a win against South Africa to clinch advancement.
South Korea	Win + favours	86%	65%	30%	South Korea need a win against Czech Republic AND favourable results elsewhere to advance.
Czech Republic	Win + favours	53%	17%	2%	Czech Republic need a win against South Korea AND favourable results elsewhere to advance.
South Africa	Win + favours	37%	17%	7%	South Africa need a win against Mexico AND favourable results elsewhere to advance.

Group B

10K Monte Carlo · 4 teams

Position	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts	Form	P(1st)	P(adv)	P(out)
1	Canada	2	1	1	0	+6	4	WD	56%	100%	0%
2	Switzerland	2	1	1	0	+3	4	WD	44%	87%	0%
3	Bosnia and Herzegovina	2	0	1	1	-3	1	LD	0%	13%	32%
4	Qatar	2	0	1	1	-6	1	LD	0%	0%	68%

Qualification scenarios

Team	Status	if W	if D	if L	What they need
Canada	Win + favours	97%	83%	60%	Canada need a win against Bosnia and Herzegovina AND favourable results elsewhere to advance.
Switzerland	Win + favours	96%	81%	56%	Switzerland need a win against Qatar AND favourable results elsewhere to advance.
Bosnia and Herzegovina	Win + favours	47%	15%	5%	Bosnia and Herzegovina need a win against Canada AND favourable results elsewhere to advance.
Qatar	Win + favours	42%	14%	4%	Qatar need a win against Switzerland AND favourable results elsewhere to advance.

Group C

10K Monte Carlo · 4 teams

Position	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts	Form	P(1st)	P(adv)	P(out)
1	Brazil	2	1	1	0	+3	4	WD	66%	84%	0%
2	Morocco	2	1	1	0	+1	4	WD	25%	92%	0%
3	Scotland	2	1	0	1	0	3	LW	9%	24%	10%
4	Haiti	2	0	0	2	-4	0	LL	0%	0%	90%

Qualification scenarios

Team	Status	if W	if D	if L	What they need
Brazil	Win to advance	100%	91%	68%	Brazil need a win against Morocco to clinch advancement.
Morocco	Win + favours	77%	39%	25%	Morocco need a win against Brazil AND favourable results elsewhere to advance.
Scotland	Win + favours	83%	64%	52%	Scotland need a win against Haiti AND favourable results elsewhere to advance.
Haiti	Win + favours	2%	0%	0%	Haiti need a win against Scotland AND favourable results elsewhere to advance.

Group D

10K Monte Carlo · 4 teams

Position	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts	Form	P(1st)	P(adv)	P(out)
1	United States	2	2	0	+5	6	WW	61%	100%	0%
2	Australia	2	1	1	0	3	LW	21%	65%	18%
3	Paraguay	2	1	1	-2	3	WL	18%	35%	21%
4	Turkey	2	0	2	-3	0	LL	0%	0%	61%

Qualification scenarios

Team	Status	if W	if D	if L	What they need
United States	Win to advance	100%	98%	83%	United States need a win against Paraguay to clinch advancement.
Australia	Win + favours	77%	54%	33%	Australia need a win against Turkey AND favourable results elsewhere to advance.
Paraguay	Win + favours	66%	38%	23%	Paraguay need a win against United States AND favourable results elsewhere to advance.
Turkey	Win + favours	25%	5%	0%	Turkey need a win against Australia AND favourable results elsewhere to advance.

Group E

10K Monte Carlo · 4 teams

Position	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts	Form	P(1st)	P(adv)	P(out)
1	Germany	2	2	0	0	+7	6	WW	89%	100%	0%
2	Ivory Coast	2	1	0	1	0	3	LW	11%	62%	9%
3	Ecuador	2	0	1	1	-1	1	DL	0%	15%	35%
4	Curacao	2	0	1	1	-6	1	DL	0%	23%	56%

Qualification scenarios

Team	Status	if W	if D	if L	What they need
Germany	Win to advance	100%	98%	87%	Germany need a win against Curacao to clinch advancement.
Ivory Coast	Win + favours	88%	65%	31%	Ivory Coast need a win against Ecuador AND favourable results elsewhere to advance.
Ecuador	Win + favours	53%	16%	2%	Ecuador need a win against Ivory Coast AND favourable results elsewhere to advance.
Curacao	Win + favours	37%	16%	7%	Curacao need a win against Germany AND favourable results elsewhere to advance.

Group F

10K Monte Carlo · 4 teams

Position	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts	Form	P(1st)	P(adv)	P(out)
1	Netherlands	2	1	1	0	+4	4	WD	61%	90%	0%
2	Japan	2	1	1	0	+4	4	WD	27%	78%	0%
3	Sweden	2	1	0	1	0	3	LW	12%	32%	10%
4	Tunisia	2	0	0	2	-8	0	LL	0%	0%	90%

Qualification scenarios

Team	Status	if W	if D	if L	What they need
Netherlands	Win + favours	98%	73%	52%	Netherlands need a win against Japan AND favourable results elsewhere to advance.
Japan	Win + favours	95%	66%	49%	Japan need a win against Netherlands AND favourable results elsewhere to advance.
Sweden	Win + favours	70%	42%	28%	Sweden need a win against Tunisia AND favourable results elsewhere to advance.
Tunisia	Win + favours	23%	4%	0%	Tunisia need a win against Sweden AND favourable results elsewhere to advance.

Group G

10K Monte Carlo · 4 teams

Position	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts	Form	P(1st)	P(adv)	P(out)
1	Egypt	2	1	1	0	+2	4	WD	36%	70%	1%
2	Belgium	1	0	1	0	0	1	D	27%	54%	23%
3	Iran	0	0	0	0	0	0	—	29%	53%	26%
4	New Zealand	1	0	0	1	-2	0	L	8%	23%	49%

Qualification scenarios

Team	Status	if W	if D	if L	What they need
Egypt	Through	100%	100%	100%	Egypt have already advanced.
Belgium	Win to advance	100%	44%	22%	Belgium need a win against Egypt to clinch advancement.
Iran	Win + favours	67%	22%	0%	Iran need a win against Egypt AND favourable results elsewhere to advance.
New Zealand	Win + favours	15%	15%	15%	New Zealand need a win AND favourable results elsewhere to advance.

Group H

10K Monte Carlo · 4 teams

Position	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts	Form	P(1st)	P(adv)	P(out)
1	Spain	2	1	1	0	+4	4	WD	81%	86%	0%
2	Uruguay	2	0	2	0	0	2	DD	19%	24%	18%
3	Cape Verde	2	0	2	0	0	2	DD	0%	58%	14%
4	Saudi Arabia	2	0	1	1	-4	1	LD	0%	32%	68%

Qualification scenarios

Team	Status	if W	if D	if L	What they need
Spain	Win + favours	98%	85%	62%	Spain need a win against Cape Verde AND favourable results elsewhere to advance.
Uruguay	Win + favours	77%	50%	23%	Uruguay need a win against Saudi Arabia AND favourable results elsewhere to advance.
Cape Verde	Win + favours	71%	37%	21%	Cape Verde need a win against Spain AND favourable results elsewhere to advance.
Saudi Arabia	Win + favours	52%	18%	7%	Saudi Arabia need a win against Uruguay AND favourable results elsewhere to advance.

Group I

10K Monte Carlo · 4 teams

Position	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts	Form	P(1st)	P(adv)	P(out)
1	France	2	2	0	+5	6	WW	76%	100%	0%
2	Norway	2	2	0	+4	6	WW	24%	100%	0%
3	Senegal	2	0	2	-3	0	LL	0%	0%	22%
4	Iraq	2	0	2	-6	0	LL	0%	0%	78%

Qualification scenarios

Team	Status	if W	if D	if L	What they need
France	Win to advance	100%	98%	90%	France need a win against Senegal to clinch advancement.
Norway	Win to advance	100%	98%	88%	Norway need a win against Iraq to clinch advancement.
Senegal	Win + favours	12%	1%	0%	Senegal need a win against France AND favourable results elsewhere to advance.
Iraq	Win + favours	11%	1%	0%	Iraq need a win against Norway AND favourable results elsewhere to advance.

Group J

10K Monte Carlo · 4 teams

Position	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts	Form	P(1st)	P(adv)	P(out)
1	Argentina	2	2	0	+5	6	WW	83%	100%	0%
2	Austria	2	1	1	0	3	LW	8%	60%	9%
3	Algeria	2	1	1	-2	3	WL	9%	40%	8%
4	Jordan	2	0	2	-3	0	LL	0%	0%	83%

Qualification scenarios

Team	Status	if W	if D	if L	What they need
Argentina	Win + favours	99%	84%	53%	Argentina need a win against Algeria AND favourable results elsewhere to advance.
Austria	Win + favours	79%	63%	49%	Austria need a win against Jordan AND favourable results elsewhere to advance.
Algeria	Win + favours	85%	54%	33%	Algeria need a win against Argentina AND favourable results elsewhere to advance.
Jordan	Win + favours	2%	0%	0%	Jordan need a win against Austria AND favourable results elsewhere to advance.

Group K

10K Monte Carlo · 4 teams

Position	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts	Form	P(1st)	P(adv)	P(out)
1	Colombia	2	2	0	0	+3	6	WW	59%	100%	0%
2	Portugal	2	1	1	0	+5	4	WD	41%	87%	0%
3	DR Congo	2	0	1	1	-1	1	LD	0%	13%	37%
4	Uzbekistan	2	0	0	2	-7	0	LL	0%	0%	63%

Qualification scenarios

Team	Status	if W	if D	if L	What they need
Colombia	Win + favours	100%	96%	86%	Colombia need a win against Uzbekistan AND favourable results elsewhere to advance.
Portugal	Win + favours	98%	83%	57%	Portugal need a win against DR Congo AND favourable results elsewhere to advance.
DR Congo	Win + favours	42%	10%	1%	DR Congo need a win against Portugal AND favourable results elsewhere to advance.
Uzbekistan	Win + favours	20%	4%	3%	Uzbekistan need a win against Colombia AND favourable results elsewhere to advance.

Group L

10K Monte Carlo · 4 teams

Position	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts	Form	P(1st)	P(adv)	P(out)
1	England	2	1	1	0	+2	4	DW	57%	94%	0%
2	Ghana	2	1	1	0	+1	4	DW	16%	45%	0%
3	Croatia	2	1	0	1	-1	3	WL	27%	61%	5%
4	Panama	2	0	0	2	-2	0	LL	0%	0%	95%

Qualification scenarios

Team	Status	if W	if D	if L	What they need
England	Win + favours	86%	49%	19%	England need a win against Croatia AND favourable results elsewhere to advance.
Ghana	Win + favours	93%	81%	69%	Ghana need a win against Panama AND favourable results elsewhere to advance.
Croatia	Win + favours	94%	68%	36%	Croatia need a win against England AND favourable results elsewhere to advance.
Panama	Win + favours	5%	0%	0%	Panama need a win against Ghana AND favourable results elsewhere to advance.

Tiebreakers: points → goal difference → goals scored → Elo (interim). FIFA's head-to-head + fair-play tiebreakers apply when the matches touched produce a tie; this consumer-side sort doesn't model them.