Group standings

All 12 groups · advancement probability · recent form

Group A

10K Monte Carlo · 4 teams

Position	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts	Form	P(1st)	P(adv)	P(out)
1	Mexico	3	3	0	0	+6	9	WW	100%	100%	0%
2	South Africa	3	1	1	1	-1	4	WD	0%	100%	0%
3	South Korea	3	1	0	2	-1	3	LL	0%	0%	0%
4	Czech Republic	3	0	1	2	-4	1	LD	0%	0%	100%

Qualification scenarios

Team	Status	if W	if D	if L	What they need
Mexico	Avoid a loss	100%	100%	98%	Mexico are through with a win or a draw against South Africa; a loss would put them at risk.
South Africa	Win + favours	73%	52%	37%	South Africa need a win against Mexico AND favourable results elsewhere to advance.
South Korea	Win + favours	58%	39%	15%	South Korea need a win against Czech Republic AND favourable results elsewhere to advance.
Czech Republic	Win + favours	23%	5%	0%	Czech Republic need a win against South Korea AND favourable results elsewhere to advance.

Group B

10K Monte Carlo · 4 teams

Position	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts	Form	P(1st)	P(adv)	P(out)
1	Switzerland	3	2	1	0	+4	7	WW	100%	100%	0%
2	Canada	3	1	1	1	+5	4	LW	0%	100%	0%
3	Bosnia and Herzegovina	3	1	1	1	-1	4	WL	0%	0%	0%
4	Qatar	3	0	1	2	-8	1	LL	0%	0%	100%

Qualification scenarios

Team	Status	if W	if D	if L	What they need
Switzerland	Win + favours	99%	92%	81%	Switzerland need a win against Qatar AND favourable results elsewhere to advance.
Canada	Win + favours	90%	57%	25%	Canada need a win against Bosnia and Herzegovina AND favourable results elsewhere to advance.
Bosnia and Herzegovina	Win + favours	80%	42%	12%	Bosnia and Herzegovina need a win against Canada AND favourable results elsewhere to advance.
Qatar	Win + favours	16%	4%	2%	Qatar need a win against Switzerland AND favourable results elsewhere to advance.

Group C

10K Monte Carlo · 4 teams

Position	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts	Form	P(1st)	P(adv)	P(out)
1	Brazil	3	2	1	0	+6	7	WW	100%	100%	0%
2	Morocco	3	2	1	0	+3	7	WW	0%	100%	0%
3	Scotland	3	1	0	2	-3	3	LL	0%	0%	0%
4	Haiti	3	0	0	3	-6	0	LL	0%	0%	100%

Qualification scenarios

Team	Status	if W	if D	if L	What they need
Brazil	Win to advance	100%	92%	81%	Brazil need a win against Morocco to clinch advancement.
Morocco	Win + favours	100%	89%	81%	Morocco need a win against Brazil AND favourable results elsewhere to advance.
Scotland	Win + favours	34%	11%	7%	Scotland need a win against Haiti AND favourable results elsewhere to advance.
Haiti	Win + favours	6%	0%	0%	Haiti need a win against Scotland AND favourable results elsewhere to advance.

Group D

10K Monte Carlo · 4 teams

Position	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts	Form	P(1st)	P(adv)	P(out)
1	United States	3	2	0	1	+4	6	LW	100%	100%	0%
2	Australia	3	1	1	1	0	4	DL	0%	100%	0%
3	Paraguay	3	1	1	1	-2	4	DW	0%	0%	0%
4	Turkey	3	1	0	2	-2	3	WL	0%	0%	100%

Qualification scenarios

Team	Status	if W	if D	if L	What they need
United States	Win + favours	98%	85%	62%	United States need a win against Paraguay AND favourable results elsewhere to advance.
Australia	Win + favours	77%	50%	23%	Australia need a win against Turkey AND favourable results elsewhere to advance.
Paraguay	Win + favours	67%	36%	19%	Paraguay need a win against United States AND favourable results elsewhere to advance.
Turkey	Win + favours	54%	23%	7%	Turkey need a win against Australia AND favourable results elsewhere to advance.

Group E

10K Monte Carlo · 4 teams

Position	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts	Form	P(1st)	P(adv)	P(out)
1	Germany	3	2	0	1	+6	6	LW	100%	100%	0%
2	Ivory Coast	3	2	0	1	+2	6	WL	0%	100%	0%
3	Ecuador	3	1	1	1	0	4	WD	0%	0%	0%
4	Curacao	3	0	1	2	-8	1	LD	0%	0%	100%

Qualification scenarios

Team	Status	if W	if D	if L	What they need
Germany	Win + favours	94%	81%	65%	Germany need a win against Curacao AND favourable results elsewhere to advance.
Ivory Coast	Win + favours	98%	83%	50%	Ivory Coast need a win against Ecuador AND favourable results elsewhere to advance.
Ecuador	Win + favours	68%	31%	14%	Ecuador need a win against Ivory Coast AND favourable results elsewhere to advance.
Curacao	Win + favours	15%	2%	0%	Curacao need a win against Germany AND favourable results elsewhere to advance.

Group F

10K Monte Carlo · 4 teams

Position	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts	Form	P(1st)	P(adv)	P(out)
1	Netherlands	3	2	1	0	+6	7	WW	100%	100%	0%
2	Japan	3	1	2	0	+4	5	DW	0%	100%	0%
3	Sweden	3	1	1	1	0	4	DL	0%	0%	0%
4	Tunisia	3	0	0	3	-10	0	LL	0%	0%	100%

Qualification scenarios

Team	Status	if W	if D	if L	What they need
Netherlands	Win to advance	100%	95%	78%	Netherlands need a win against Japan to clinch advancement.
Japan	Win + favours	88%	62%	50%	Japan need a win against Netherlands AND favourable results elsewhere to advance.
Sweden	Win + favours	60%	35%	21%	Sweden need a win against Tunisia AND favourable results elsewhere to advance.
Tunisia	Win + favours	10%	0%	0%	Tunisia need a win against Sweden AND favourable results elsewhere to advance.

Group G

10K Monte Carlo · 4 teams

Position	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts	Form	P(1st)	P(adv)	P(out)
1	Belgium	2	1	1	0	+4	4	WD	49%	83%	0%
2	Egypt	2	1	1	0	+2	4	WD	26%	66%	0%
3	Iran	0	0	0	0	0	0	—	25%	51%	27%
4	New Zealand	2	0	0	2	-6	0	LL	0%	0%	73%

Qualification scenarios

Team	Status	if W	if D	if L	What they need
Belgium	Avoid a loss	100%	100%	89%	Belgium are through with a win or a draw against Egypt; a loss would put them at risk.
Egypt	Win to advance	100%	89%	89%	Egypt need a win against Belgium to clinch advancement.
Iran	Out	—	—	—	Iran cannot advance from this group.
New Zealand	Win + favours	11%	11%	11%	New Zealand need a win AND favourable results elsewhere to advance.

Group H

10K Monte Carlo · 4 teams

Position	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts	Form	P(1st)	P(adv)	P(out)
1	Spain	3	2	1	0	+5	7	WW	100%	100%	0%
2	Cape Verde	3	0	3	0	0	3	DD	0%	100%	0%
3	Uruguay	3	0	2	1	-1	2	LD	0%	0%	0%
4	Saudi Arabia	3	0	2	1	-4	2	DL	0%	0%	100%

Qualification scenarios

Team	Status	if W	if D	if L	What they need
Spain	Win to advance	100%	100%	89%	Spain need a win against Cape Verde to clinch advancement.
Cape Verde	Win + favours	68%	42%	29%	Cape Verde need a win against Spain AND favourable results elsewhere to advance.
Uruguay	Win + favours	58%	31%	9%	Uruguay need a win against Saudi Arabia AND favourable results elsewhere to advance.
Saudi Arabia	Win + favours	50%	19%	5%	Saudi Arabia need a win against Uruguay AND favourable results elsewhere to advance.

Group I

10K Monte Carlo · 4 teams

Position	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts	Form	P(1st)	P(adv)	P(out)
1	France	3	3	0	+8	9	WW	100%	100%	0%
2	Norway	3	2	1	+1	6	LW	0%	100%	0%
3	Senegal	3	1	2	+2	3	WL	0%	0%	0%
4	Iraq	3	0	3	-11	0	LL	0%	0%	100%

Qualification scenarios

Team	Status	if W	if D	if L	What they need
France	Avoid a loss	100%	100%	97%	France are through with a win or a draw against Senegal; a loss would put them at risk.
Norway	Win + favours	88%	75%	58%	Norway need a win against Iraq AND favourable results elsewhere to advance.
Senegal	Win + favours	43%	21%	13%	Senegal need a win against France AND favourable results elsewhere to advance.
Iraq	Win + favours	5%	0%	0%	Iraq need a win against Norway AND favourable results elsewhere to advance.

Group J

10K Monte Carlo · 4 teams

Position	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts	Form	P(1st)	P(adv)	P(out)
1	Argentina	3	3	0	0	+7	9	WW	100%	100%	0%
2	Austria	3	1	1	1	0	4	DL	0%	100%	0%
3	Algeria	3	1	1	1	-2	4	DW	0%	0%	0%
4	Jordan	3	0	0	3	-5	0	LL	0%	0%	100%

Qualification scenarios

Team	Status	if W	if D	if L	What they need
Argentina	Avoid a loss	100%	100%	97%	Argentina are through with a win or a draw against Algeria; a loss would put them at risk.
Austria	Win + favours	75%	52%	35%	Austria need a win against Jordan AND favourable results elsewhere to advance.
Algeria	Win + favours	62%	40%	27%	Algeria need a win against Argentina AND favourable results elsewhere to advance.
Jordan	Win + favours	12%	1%	0%	Jordan need a win against Austria AND favourable results elsewhere to advance.

Group K

10K Monte Carlo · 4 teams

Position	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts	Form	P(1st)	P(adv)	P(out)
1	Colombia	3	2	1	0	+3	7	DW	100%	100%	0%
2	Portugal	3	1	2	0	+5	5	DW	0%	100%	0%
3	DR Congo	3	1	1	1	+1	4	WL	0%	0%	0%
4	Uzbekistan	3	0	0	3	-9	0	LL	0%	0%	100%

Qualification scenarios

Team	Status	if W	if D	if L	What they need
Colombia	Win + favours	96%	84%	72%	Colombia need a win against Uzbekistan AND favourable results elsewhere to advance.
Portugal	Win + favours	96%	72%	38%	Portugal need a win against DR Congo AND favourable results elsewhere to advance.
DR Congo	Win + favours	77%	38%	15%	DR Congo need a win against Portugal AND favourable results elsewhere to advance.
Uzbekistan	Win + favours	9%	1%	0%	Uzbekistan need a win against Colombia AND favourable results elsewhere to advance.

Group L

10K Monte Carlo · 4 teams

Position	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts	Form	P(1st)	P(adv)	P(out)
1	England	3	2	1	0	+4	7	WD	100%	100%	0%
2	Croatia	3	2	0	1	0	6	WW	0%	100%	0%
3	Ghana	3	1	1	1	0	4	LD	0%	0%	0%
4	Panama	3	0	0	3	-4	0	LL	0%	0%	100%

Qualification scenarios

Team	Status	if W	if D	if L	What they need
England	Win to advance	100%	92%	75%	England need a win against Croatia to clinch advancement.
Croatia	Win + favours	93%	65%	52%	Croatia need a win against England AND favourable results elsewhere to advance.
Ghana	Win + favours	60%	35%	21%	Ghana need a win against Panama AND favourable results elsewhere to advance.
Panama	Win + favours	7%	0%	0%	Panama need a win against Ghana AND favourable results elsewhere to advance.

Tiebreakers: points → goal difference → goals scored → Elo (interim). FIFA's head-to-head + fair-play tiebreakers apply when the matches touched produce a tie; this consumer-side sort doesn't model them.