Big Balls Bets

Mexico

Group A · 1st · 9 pts
Advancement71%
All groups

WC2026 · NERD

Mexico

WWLLD

3

W

0

D

0

L

Elo rating

Updated · 9/28/2026

Elo rating

1624.0

Global rank

#22

Games counted

98

League

FIFA World Cup 2026

Stats

Goals / game

1.23

Against / game

1.32

BTTS %

42%

Over 2.5 %

47%

ATS

—

see Intel section below

O/U trend

—

see Intel section below

Qualification scenarios

Qualification scenarios

TeamStatusif Wif Dif LWhat they need
MexicoAvoid a loss100%100%98%Mexico are through with a win or a draw against South Africa; a loss would put them at risk.
South AfricaWin + favours73%52%37%South Africa need a win against Mexico AND favourable results elsewhere to advance.
South KoreaWin + favours58%39%15%South Korea need a win against Czech Republic AND favourable results elsewhere to advance.
Czech RepublicWin + favours23%5%0%Czech Republic need a win against South Korea AND favourable results elsewhere to advance.

Pure deterministic math — no model prediction

Upcoming

3 matches

Recent form

WWWWWWWLLD
DateCompetitionOpponentScoreResult
Sep 27, 2026Friendliesvs Colombia1–1D
Jul 6, 2026FIFA World Cup 2026vs England2–3L
Jul 6, 2026FIFA World Cup 2026vs England2–3L
Jul 1, 2026FIFA World Cup 2026vs Ecuador2–0W
Jul 1, 2026FIFA World Cup 2026vs Ecuador2–0W
Jun 25, 2026FIFA World Cup 2026@ Czech Republic3–0W
Jun 19, 2026FIFA World Cup 2026vs South Korea1–0W
Jun 11, 2026FIFA World Cup 2026vs South Africa2–0W
Jun 5, 2026Friendliesvs Serbia5–1W
May 31, 2026Friendliesvs Australia1–0W

Head-to-head

vs South Africa

1

W

1

D

0

L

Goals 0–0 all-time

Last meetings

  • Jun 11, 2026Mexico 2–0 South Africa
  • Jun 11, 2010South Africa 1–1 Mexico
vs South Korea

3

W

1

D

0

L

Goals 0–0 all-time

Last meetings

  • Jun 19, 2026Mexico 1–0 South Korea
  • Sep 10, 2025Mexico 2–2 South Korea
  • Jun 23, 2018South Korea 1–2 Mexico
vs Czech Republic

2

W

0

D

0

L

Goals 0–0 all-time

Last meetings

  • Jun 25, 2026Czech Republic 0–3 Mexico
  • Jun 7, 1962Czech Republic 1–3 Mexico

Squad

26 players

Golden Boot contributors

Golden Boot

finished · 8/21/2026

#PlayerTeamGAMinPos
1Lionel MessiArgentina60200—
2Kylian MbappéFrance42266—
2Ousmane DembéléFrance41213—
2Vinícius JúniorBrazil41261—
2Erling HaalandNorway40180—
3Deniz UndavGermany3286—
3Johan ManzambiSwitzerland31129—
3Ismaïla SarrSenegal31246—
3Brian BrobbeyNetherlands30161—
3Matheus CunhaBrazil30169—

INTEL

ATS splits, recent trends, scheduling notes.

ATS splits

Overall
7-2-1
Home
4-1-1
Away
3-1-0
As favorite
7-1-0
As underdog
0-1-0

Trends

ATS L5
1-0-0
ATS L10
1-0-0
O/U L5
1-0-0
O/U L10
1-0-0

Schedule context

Days rest
11
Back-to-back
No
Home streak
5
Away streak
0

As of 2026-10-08

Tournament history

World Cup · 2002–2022
YearFinishGPWDLGFGAGD
2022Group stage311123-1
2018Round of 16420236-3
2014Round of 16421153+2
2010Round of 16411245-1
2006Round of 164112550
2002Round of 164211440

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