Big Balls Bets

Portugal

Group K · 2nd · 5 pts
Advancement70%
All groups

WC2026 · NERD

Portugal

LWWWW

1

W

2

D

0

L

Elo rating

Updated · 9/28/2026

Elo rating

1671.2

Global rank

#13

Games counted

66

League

FIFA World Cup 2026

Stats

Goals / game

1.92

Against / game

1.07

BTTS %

53%

Over 2.5 %

60%

ATS

—

see Intel section below

O/U trend

—

see Intel section below

Qualification scenarios

Qualification scenarios

TeamStatusif Wif Dif LWhat they need
ColombiaWin + favours96%84%72%Colombia need a win against Uzbekistan AND favourable results elsewhere to advance.
PortugalWin + favours96%72%38%Portugal need a win against DR Congo AND favourable results elsewhere to advance.
DR CongoWin + favours77%38%15%DR Congo need a win against Portugal AND favourable results elsewhere to advance.
UzbekistanWin + favours9%1%0%Uzbekistan need a win against Colombia AND favourable results elsewhere to advance.

Pure deterministic math — no model prediction

Upcoming

3 matches

Recent form

WDWDWLWWWW
DateCompetitionOpponentScoreResult
Oct 4, 2026UEFA Nations Leaguevs Norway2–1W
Oct 1, 2026UEFA Nations League@ Denmark4–2W
Sep 27, 2026UEFA Nations League@ Norway2–1W
Sep 24, 2026UEFA Nations Leaguevs Wales1–0W
Jul 6, 2026FIFA World Cup 2026vs Spain0–1L
Jul 2, 2026FIFA World Cup 2026vs Croatia2–1W
Jun 27, 2026FIFA World Cup 2026@ Colombia0–0D
Jun 23, 2026FIFA World Cup 2026vs Uzbekistan5–0W
Jun 17, 2026FIFA World Cup 2026vs DR Congo1–1D
Jun 10, 2026Friendliesvs Nigeria2–1W

Head-to-head

vs DR Congo

0

W

1

D

0

L

Goals 0–0 all-time

Last meetings

  • Jun 17, 2026Portugal 1–1 DR Congo
vs Uzbekistan

1

W

0

D

0

L

Goals 0–0 all-time

Last meetings

  • Jun 23, 2026Portugal 5–0 Uzbekistan
vs Colombia

0

W

1

D

0

L

Goals 0–0 all-time

Last meetings

  • Jun 27, 2026Colombia 0–0 Portugal

Squad

26 players

Golden Boot contributors

Golden Boot

finished · 8/21/2026

#PlayerTeamGAMinPos
1Lionel MessiArgentina60200—
2Kylian MbappéFrance42266—
2Ousmane DembéléFrance41213—
2Vinícius JúniorBrazil41261—
2Erling HaalandNorway40180—
3Deniz UndavGermany3286—
3Johan ManzambiSwitzerland31129—
3Ismaïla SarrSenegal31246—
3Brian BrobbeyNetherlands30161—
3Matheus CunhaBrazil30169—

INTEL

ATS splits, recent trends, scheduling notes.

ATS splits

Overall
6-8-0
Home
3-5-0
Away
3-3-0
As favorite
4-7-0
As underdog
2-1-0

Trends

ATS L5
1-0-0
ATS L10
1-0-0
O/U L5
0-0-0
O/U L10
0-0-0

Schedule context

Days rest
4
Back-to-back
No
Home streak
1
Away streak
0

As of 2026-10-08

Tournament history

World Cup · 2002–2022
YearFinishGPWDLGFGAGD
2022Quarter Final5302126+6
2018Round of 164121660
2014Group stage311147-3
2010Round of 16412171+6
2006Fourth place741275+2
2002Group stage310264+2

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