Big Balls Bets

Netherlands

Group F · 1st · 7 pts
Advancement83%
All groups

WC2026 · NERD

Netherlands

LDWDW

2

W

1

D

0

L

Elo rating

Updated · 9/28/2026

Elo rating

1748.4

Global rank

#4

Games counted

87

League

FIFA World Cup 2026

Stats

Goals / game

2.01

Against / game

0.99

BTTS %

58%

Over 2.5 %

62%

ATS

—

see Intel section below

O/U trend

—

see Intel section below

Qualification scenarios

Qualification scenarios

TeamStatusif Wif Dif LWhat they need
NetherlandsWin to advance100%95%78%Netherlands need a win against Japan to clinch advancement.
JapanWin + favours88%62%50%Japan need a win against Netherlands AND favourable results elsewhere to advance.
SwedenWin + favours60%35%21%Sweden need a win against Tunisia AND favourable results elsewhere to advance.
TunisiaWin + favours10%0%0%Tunisia need a win against Sweden AND favourable results elsewhere to advance.

Pure deterministic math — no model prediction

Upcoming

3 matches

Recent form

LWDWWLDWDW
DateCompetitionOpponentScoreResult
Oct 4, 2026UEFA Nations Leaguevs Serbia2–1W
Oct 1, 2026UEFA Nations League@ Greece2–2D
Sep 27, 2026UEFA Nations League@ Serbia1–0W
Sep 24, 2026UEFA Nations Leaguevs Germany1–1D
Jun 30, 2026FIFA World Cup 2026vs Morocco3–4L
Jun 25, 2026FIFA World Cup 2026@ Tunisia3–1W
Jun 20, 2026FIFA World Cup 2026vs Sweden5–1W
Jun 14, 2026FIFA World Cup 2026vs Japan2–2D
Jun 8, 2026Friendliesvs Uzbekistan2–1W
Jun 3, 2026Friendliesvs Algeria0–1L

Head-to-head

vs Japan

1

W

1

D

0

L

Goals 0–0 all-time

Last meetings

  • Jun 14, 2026Netherlands 2–2 Japan
  • Jun 19, 2010Netherlands 1–0 Japan
vs Sweden

1

W

1

D

0

L

Goals 0–0 all-time

Last meetings

  • Jun 20, 2026Netherlands 5–1 Sweden
  • Jun 19, 1974Netherlands 0–0 Sweden
vs Tunisia

1

W

0

D

0

L

Goals 0–0 all-time

Last meetings

  • Jun 25, 2026Tunisia 1–3 Netherlands

Squad

26 players

Golden Boot contributors

Golden Boot

finished · 8/21/2026

#PlayerTeamGAMinPos
1Lionel MessiArgentina60200—
2Kylian MbappéFrance42266—
2Ousmane DembéléFrance41213—
2Vinícius JúniorBrazil41261—
2Erling HaalandNorway40180—
3Deniz UndavGermany3286—
3Johan ManzambiSwitzerland31129—
3Ismaïla SarrSenegal31246—
3Brian BrobbeyNetherlands30161—
3Matheus CunhaBrazil30169—

INTEL

ATS splits, recent trends, scheduling notes.

ATS splits

Overall
9-5-2
Home
3-4-1
Away
6-1-1
As favorite
7-5-1
As underdog
2-0-0

Trends

ATS L5
0-0-0
ATS L10
1-0-0
O/U L5
1-0-0
O/U L10
1-0-0

Schedule context

Days rest
4
Back-to-back
No
Home streak
1
Away streak
0

As of 2026-10-08

Tournament history

World Cup · 2002–2022
YearFinishGPWDLGFGAGD
2022Quarter Final5320104+6
2014Third place7520154+11
2010Runners-up7601126+6
2006Round of 16421132+1

Did you know?

  • The Netherlands reached the semi-finals of the 2014 FIFA World Cup, losing to Argentina on penalties.

    source: espn.com
  • The Netherlands has appeared in the FIFA World Cup final three times: 1974, 1978, and 2010.

    source: topendsports.com