Big Balls Bets

Sweden @ Netherlands

Group GROUP F · World Cup 2026
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AI summary · only the facts on this page

Final
Sweden1
–
Netherlands5

Sweden

32-17-29

finished

Jun 20, 2026 · 5:00 PM

NRG Stadium

🌡 85°F 💨 8 mph ☁ Thunderstorm

Group GROUP F

Netherlands

47-24-16

Sweden win

14.4%

Draw

22.7%

Netherlands win

62.8%

Elo Δ

+184

H2H

1-1-0

BTTS avg

58%

The context

Rest
SWE 26d · NED 25d

Best line · Moneyline

Game settled · prices closed.

Form & Record

SWE · NED
  • 32-17-29W-D-L47-24-16
  • Last 5
  • 26dRest25d
  • 113Points165

Attack

SWE · NED
  • 1.71Goals scored / match2.06
  • 59%BTTS rate57%
  • 63%Over 2.5 rate63%

Defense

SWE · NED
  • 1.51Goals conceded / match0.99
  • +15Goal difference+93
  • 19Clean sheets32

Model

SWE · NED
  • 14.4%Model win prob62.8%
  • 1569Elo rating1753
  • 0.99xG2.47

Starting XI

SWE · NED
3-1-4-2Formation4-3-3
  • 2Gustaf LagerbielkeBart Verbruggen1
  • 3Victor LindelöfVirgil van Dijk4
  • 4Isak HienJan Paul van Hecke6
  • 5Gabriel GudmundssonRyan Gravenberch8
  • 9Alexander IsakCody Gakpo11
  • 10Benjamin NygrenTijjani Reijnders14
  • 16Jesper KarlströmMicky van de Ven15
  • 17Viktor GyökeresDonyell Malen18
  • 18Yasin AyariBrian Brobbey19
  • 21Alexander BernhardssonFrenkie de Jong21
  • 23Kristoffer NordfeldtDenzel Dumfries22

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