Big Balls Bets

Sweden

Group F · 3rd · 4 pts
Advancement56%
All groups

WC2026 · NERD

Sweden

LWWDW

1

W

1

D

1

L

Elo rating

Updated · 9/28/2026

Elo rating

1570.1

Global rank

#33

Games counted

77

League

FIFA World Cup 2026

Stats

Goals / game

1.70

Against / game

1.50

BTTS %

61%

Over 2.5 %

63%

ATS

—

see Intel section below

O/U trend

—

see Intel section below

Qualification scenarios

Qualification scenarios

TeamStatusif Wif Dif LWhat they need
NetherlandsWin to advance100%95%78%Netherlands need a win against Japan to clinch advancement.
JapanWin + favours88%62%50%Japan need a win against Netherlands AND favourable results elsewhere to advance.
SwedenWin + favours60%35%21%Sweden need a win against Tunisia AND favourable results elsewhere to advance.
TunisiaWin + favours10%0%0%Tunisia need a win against Sweden AND favourable results elsewhere to advance.

Pure deterministic math — no model prediction

Upcoming

3 matches

Recent form

LDWLDLWWDW
DateCompetitionOpponentScoreResult
Oct 5, 2026UEFA Nations League@ Romania1–0W
Oct 2, 2026UEFA Nations League@ Bosnia and Herzegovina1–1D
Sep 28, 2026UEFA Nations Leaguevs Poland3–1W
Sep 25, 2026UEFA Nations Leaguevs Romania2–1W
Jun 30, 2026FIFA World Cup 2026@ France0–3L
Jun 25, 2026FIFA World Cup 2026@ Japan1–1D
Jun 20, 2026FIFA World Cup 2026@ Netherlands1–5L
Jun 15, 2026FIFA World Cup 2026vs Tunisia5–1W
Jun 4, 2026Friendliesvs Greece2–2D
Jun 1, 2026Friendlies@ Norway1–3L

Head-to-head

vs Tunisia

1

W

0

D

0

L

Goals 0–0 all-time

Last meetings

  • Jun 15, 2026Sweden 5–1 Tunisia
vs NetherlandsRevenge factor

0

W

1

D

1

L

Goals 0–0 all-time

Last meetings

  • Jun 20, 2026Netherlands 5–1 Sweden
  • Jun 19, 1974Netherlands 0–0 Sweden
vs Japan

0

W

1

D

0

L

Goals 0–0 all-time

Last meetings

  • Jun 25, 2026Japan 1–1 Sweden

Squad

26 players

Golden Boot contributors

Golden Boot

finished · 8/21/2026

#PlayerTeamGAMinPos
1Lionel MessiArgentina60200—
2Kylian MbappéFrance42266—
2Ousmane DembéléFrance41213—
2Vinícius JúniorBrazil41261—
2Erling HaalandNorway40180—
3Deniz UndavGermany3286—
3Johan ManzambiSwitzerland31129—
3Ismaïla SarrSenegal31246—
3Brian BrobbeyNetherlands30161—
3Matheus CunhaBrazil30169—

INTEL

ATS splits, recent trends, scheduling notes.

ATS splits

Overall
3-6-1
Home
1-1-1
Away
2-5-0
As favorite
2-3-1
As underdog
1-3-0

Trends

ATS L5
0-0-0
ATS L10
0-0-0
O/U L5
0-0-0
O/U L10
0-0-0

Schedule context

Days rest
3
Back-to-back
No
Home streak
0
Away streak
2

As of 2026-10-08

Tournament history

World Cup · 2002–2022
YearFinishGPWDLGFGAGD
2018Quarter Final530264+2
2006Round of 16412134-1
2002Round of 164121550

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