Big Balls Bets

Group standings

All 12 groups · advancement probability · recent form

Group K

10K Monte Carlo · 4 teams

PositionTeamPWDLGDPtsFormP(1st)P(adv)P(out)
1Colombia3210+37DW100%100%0%
2Portugal3120+55DW0%100%0%
3DR Congo3111+14WL0%0%0%
4Uzbekistan3003-90LL0%0%100%

Qualification scenarios

TeamStatusif Wif Dif LWhat they need
ColombiaWin + favours96%84%72%Colombia need a win against Uzbekistan AND favourable results elsewhere to advance.
PortugalWin + favours96%72%38%Portugal need a win against DR Congo AND favourable results elsewhere to advance.
DR CongoWin + favours77%38%15%DR Congo need a win against Portugal AND favourable results elsewhere to advance.
UzbekistanWin + favours9%1%0%Uzbekistan need a win against Colombia AND favourable results elsewhere to advance.

Pure deterministic math — no model prediction

Tiebreakers: points → goal difference → goals scored → Elo (interim). FIFA's head-to-head + fair-play tiebreakers apply when the matches touched produce a tie; this consumer-side sort doesn't model them.