Big Balls Bets

Group standings

All 12 groups · advancement probability · recent form

Group H

10K Monte Carlo · 4 teams

PositionTeamPWDLGDPtsFormP(1st)P(adv)P(out)
1Spain2110+44WD81%86%0%
2Uruguay202002DD19%24%18%
3Cape Verde202002DD0%58%14%
4Saudi Arabia2011-41LD0%32%68%

Qualification scenarios

TeamStatusif Wif Dif LWhat they need
SpainWin + favours98%85%62%Spain need a win against Cape Verde AND favourable results elsewhere to advance.
UruguayWin + favours77%50%23%Uruguay need a win against Saudi Arabia AND favourable results elsewhere to advance.
Cape VerdeWin + favours71%37%21%Cape Verde need a win against Spain AND favourable results elsewhere to advance.
Saudi ArabiaWin + favours52%18%7%Saudi Arabia need a win against Uruguay AND favourable results elsewhere to advance.

Pure deterministic math — no model prediction

Tiebreakers: points → goal difference → goals scored → Elo (interim). FIFA's head-to-head + fair-play tiebreakers apply when the matches touched produce a tie; this consumer-side sort doesn't model them.