Big Balls Bets

Group standings

All 12 groups · advancement probability · recent form

Group H

10K Monte Carlo · 4 teams

PositionTeamPWDLGDPtsFormP(1st)P(adv)P(out)
1Spain3210+57WW100%100%0%
2Cape Verde303003DD0%100%0%
3Uruguay3021-12LD0%0%0%
4Saudi Arabia3021-42DL0%0%100%

Qualification scenarios

TeamStatusif Wif Dif LWhat they need
SpainWin to advance100%100%89%Spain need a win against Cape Verde to clinch advancement.
Cape VerdeWin + favours68%42%29%Cape Verde need a win against Spain AND favourable results elsewhere to advance.
UruguayWin + favours58%31%9%Uruguay need a win against Saudi Arabia AND favourable results elsewhere to advance.
Saudi ArabiaWin + favours50%19%5%Saudi Arabia need a win against Uruguay AND favourable results elsewhere to advance.

Pure deterministic math — no model prediction

Tiebreakers: points → goal difference → goals scored → Elo (interim). FIFA's head-to-head + fair-play tiebreakers apply when the matches touched produce a tie; this consumer-side sort doesn't model them.