Group standings
All 12 groups · advancement probability · recent form
Group F
10K Monte Carlo · 4 teams
| Position | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form | P(1st) | P(adv) | P(out) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Netherlands | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | +6 | 7 | WW | 100% | 100% | 0% |
| 2 |  Japan | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | +4 | 5 | DW | 0% | 100% | 0% |
| 3 |  Sweden | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | DL | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4 |  Tunisia | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -10 | 0 | LL | 0% | 0% | 100% |
Qualification scenarios
| Team | Status | if W | if D | if L | What they need |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Netherlands | Win to advance | 100% | 95% | 78% | Netherlands need a win against Japan to clinch advancement. |
| Japan | Win + favours | 88% | 62% | 50% | Japan need a win against Netherlands AND favourable results elsewhere to advance. |
| Sweden | Win + favours | 60% | 35% | 21% | Sweden need a win against Tunisia AND favourable results elsewhere to advance. |
| Tunisia | Win + favours | 10% | 0% | 0% | Tunisia need a win against Sweden AND favourable results elsewhere to advance. |
Tiebreakers: points → goal difference → goals scored → Elo (interim). FIFA's head-to-head + fair-play tiebreakers apply when the matches touched produce a tie; this consumer-side sort doesn't model them.