Big Balls Bets

Group standings

All 12 groups · advancement probability · recent form

Group E

10K Monte Carlo · 4 teams

PositionTeamPWDLGDPtsFormP(1st)P(adv)P(out)
1Germany3201+66LW100%100%0%
2Ivory Coast3201+26WL0%100%0%
3Ecuador311104WD0%0%0%
4Curacao3012-81LD0%0%100%

Qualification scenarios

TeamStatusif Wif Dif LWhat they need
GermanyWin + favours94%81%65%Germany need a win against Curacao AND favourable results elsewhere to advance.
Ivory CoastWin + favours98%83%50%Ivory Coast need a win against Ecuador AND favourable results elsewhere to advance.
EcuadorWin + favours68%31%14%Ecuador need a win against Ivory Coast AND favourable results elsewhere to advance.
CuracaoWin + favours15%2%0%Curacao need a win against Germany AND favourable results elsewhere to advance.

Pure deterministic math — no model prediction

Tiebreakers: points → goal difference → goals scored → Elo (interim). FIFA's head-to-head + fair-play tiebreakers apply when the matches touched produce a tie; this consumer-side sort doesn't model them.