Big Balls Bets

Group standings

All 12 groups · advancement probability · recent form

Group E

10K Monte Carlo · 4 teams

PositionTeamPWDLGDPtsFormP(1st)P(adv)P(out)
1Germany2200+76WW89%100%0%
2Ivory Coast210103LW11%62%9%
3Ecuador2011-11DL0%15%35%
4Curacao2011-61DL0%23%56%

Qualification scenarios

TeamStatusif Wif Dif LWhat they need
GermanyWin to advance100%98%87%Germany need a win against Curacao to clinch advancement.
Ivory CoastWin + favours88%65%31%Ivory Coast need a win against Ecuador AND favourable results elsewhere to advance.
EcuadorWin + favours53%16%2%Ecuador need a win against Ivory Coast AND favourable results elsewhere to advance.
CuracaoWin + favours37%16%7%Curacao need a win against Germany AND favourable results elsewhere to advance.

Pure deterministic math — no model prediction

Tiebreakers: points → goal difference → goals scored → Elo (interim). FIFA's head-to-head + fair-play tiebreakers apply when the matches touched produce a tie; this consumer-side sort doesn't model them.