Group standings
All 12 groups · advancement probability · recent form
Group D
10K Monte Carlo · 4 teams
| Position | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form | P(1st) | P(adv) | P(out) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  United States | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +5 | 6 | WW | 61% | 100% | 0% |
| 2 |  Australia | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | LW | 22% | 66% | 17% |
| 3 |  Paraguay | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 3 | WL | 17% | 34% | 22% |
| 4 |  Turkey | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -3 | 0 | LL | 0% | 0% | 61% |
Qualification scenarios
| Team | Status | if W | if D | if L | What they need |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| United States | Win to advance | 100% | 98% | 83% | United States need a win against Paraguay to clinch advancement. |
| Australia | Win + favours | 77% | 54% | 33% | Australia need a win against Turkey AND favourable results elsewhere to advance. |
| Paraguay | Win + favours | 66% | 38% | 23% | Paraguay need a win against United States AND favourable results elsewhere to advance. |
| Turkey | Win + favours | 25% | 5% | 0% | Turkey need a win against Australia AND favourable results elsewhere to advance. |
Tiebreakers: points → goal difference → goals scored → Elo (interim). FIFA's head-to-head + fair-play tiebreakers apply when the matches touched produce a tie; this consumer-side sort doesn't model them.