Big Balls Bets

Group standings

All 12 groups · advancement probability · recent form

Group B

10K Monte Carlo · 4 teams

PositionTeamPWDLGDPtsFormP(1st)P(adv)P(out)
1Canada2110+64WD57%100%0%
2Switzerland2110+34WD43%87%0%
3Bosnia and Herzegovina2011-31LD0%13%31%
4Qatar2011-61LD0%0%69%

Qualification scenarios

TeamStatusif Wif Dif LWhat they need
CanadaWin + favours97%83%60%Canada need a win against Bosnia and Herzegovina AND favourable results elsewhere to advance.
SwitzerlandWin + favours96%81%56%Switzerland need a win against Qatar AND favourable results elsewhere to advance.
Bosnia and HerzegovinaWin + favours47%15%5%Bosnia and Herzegovina need a win against Canada AND favourable results elsewhere to advance.
QatarWin + favours42%14%4%Qatar need a win against Switzerland AND favourable results elsewhere to advance.

Pure deterministic math — no model prediction

Tiebreakers: points → goal difference → goals scored → Elo (interim). FIFA's head-to-head + fair-play tiebreakers apply when the matches touched produce a tie; this consumer-side sort doesn't model them.