Big Balls Bets

Group standings

All 12 groups · advancement probability · recent form

Group B

10K Monte Carlo · 4 teams

PositionTeamPWDLGDPtsFormP(1st)P(adv)P(out)
1Switzerland3210+47WW100%100%0%
2Canada3111+54LW0%100%0%
3Bosnia and Herzegovina3111-14WL0%0%0%
4Qatar3012-81LL0%0%100%

Qualification scenarios

TeamStatusif Wif Dif LWhat they need
SwitzerlandWin + favours99%92%81%Switzerland need a win against Qatar AND favourable results elsewhere to advance.
CanadaWin + favours90%57%25%Canada need a win against Bosnia and Herzegovina AND favourable results elsewhere to advance.
Bosnia and HerzegovinaWin + favours80%42%12%Bosnia and Herzegovina need a win against Canada AND favourable results elsewhere to advance.
QatarWin + favours16%4%2%Qatar need a win against Switzerland AND favourable results elsewhere to advance.

Pure deterministic math — no model prediction

Tiebreakers: points → goal difference → goals scored → Elo (interim). FIFA's head-to-head + fair-play tiebreakers apply when the matches touched produce a tie; this consumer-side sort doesn't model them.