Group standings
All 12 groups · advancement probability · recent form
Group A
10K Monte Carlo · 4 teams
| Position | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form | P(1st) | P(adv) | P(out) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Mexico | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 6 | WW | 87% | 100% | 0% |
| 2 |  South Korea | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | LW | 13% | 57% | 12% |
| 3 |  Czech Republic | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 1 | DL | 0% | 20% | 34% |
| 4 |  South Africa | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -2 | 1 | DL | 0% | 23% | 54% |
Qualification scenarios
| Team | Status | if W | if D | if L | What they need |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mexico | Win to advance | 100% | 98% | 86% | Mexico need a win against South Africa to clinch advancement. |
| South Korea | Win + favours | 86% | 65% | 30% | South Korea need a win against Czech Republic AND favourable results elsewhere to advance. |
| Czech Republic | Win + favours | 53% | 17% | 2% | Czech Republic need a win against South Korea AND favourable results elsewhere to advance. |
| South Africa | Win + favours | 37% | 17% | 7% | South Africa need a win against Mexico AND favourable results elsewhere to advance. |
Tiebreakers: points → goal difference → goals scored → Elo (interim). FIFA's head-to-head + fair-play tiebreakers apply when the matches touched produce a tie; this consumer-side sort doesn't model them.