Group standings
All 12 groups · advancement probability · recent form
Group A
10K Monte Carlo · 4 teams
| Position | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form | P(1st) | P(adv) | P(out) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Mexico | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | +6 | 9 | WW | 100% | 100% | 0% |
| 2 |  South Africa | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 4 | WD | 0% | 100% | 0% |
| 3 |  South Korea | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -1 | 3 | LL | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4 |  Czech Republic | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -4 | 1 | LD | 0% | 0% | 100% |
Qualification scenarios
| Team | Status | if W | if D | if L | What they need |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mexico | Avoid a loss | 100% | 100% | 98% | Mexico are through with a win or a draw against South Africa; a loss would put them at risk. |
| South Africa | Win + favours | 73% | 52% | 37% | South Africa need a win against Mexico AND favourable results elsewhere to advance. |
| South Korea | Win + favours | 58% | 39% | 15% | South Korea need a win against Czech Republic AND favourable results elsewhere to advance. |
| Czech Republic | Win + favours | 23% | 5% | 0% | Czech Republic need a win against South Korea AND favourable results elsewhere to advance. |
Tiebreakers: points → goal difference → goals scored → Elo (interim). FIFA's head-to-head + fair-play tiebreakers apply when the matches touched produce a tie; this consumer-side sort doesn't model them.