Big Balls Bets

Mexico

Group A · 1st · 9 pts
Advancement68%
All groups

WC2026 · NERD

Mexico

WWWLL

3

W

0

D

0

L

Elo rating

Updated · 7/15/2026

Elo rating

1605.4

Global rank

#27

Games counted

94

League

FIFA World Cup 2026

Stats

Goals / game

1.19

Against / game

1.36

BTTS %

42%

Over 2.5 %

48%

ATS

see Intel section below

O/U trend

see Intel section below

Qualification scenarios

Qualification scenarios

TeamStatusif Wif Dif LWhat they need
MexicoAvoid a loss100%100%98%Mexico are through with a win or a draw against South Africa; a loss would put them at risk.
South AfricaWin + favours73%52%37%South Africa need a win against Mexico AND favourable results elsewhere to advance.
South KoreaWin + favours58%39%15%South Korea need a win against Czech Republic AND favourable results elsewhere to advance.
Czech RepublicWin + favours23%5%0%Czech Republic need a win against South Korea AND favourable results elsewhere to advance.

Pure deterministic math — no model prediction

Upcoming

3 matches

Recent form

WDDWWWWWLL
DateCompetitionOpponentScoreResult
Jul 6, 2026FIFA World Cup 2026vs England2–3L
Jul 6, 2026FIFA World Cup 2026vs England2–3L
Jul 1, 2026FIFA World Cup 2026vs Ecuador2–0W
Jul 1, 2026FIFA World Cup 2026vs Ecuador2–0W
Jun 25, 2026FIFA World Cup 2026@ Czech Republic3–0W
Jun 19, 2026FIFA World Cup 2026vs South Korea1–0W
Jun 11, 2026FIFA World Cup 2026vs South Africa2–0W
Apr 1, 2026Friendliesvs Belgium1–1D
Mar 29, 2026Friendliesvs Portugal0–0D
Feb 26, 2026Friendliesvs Iceland4–0W

Head-to-head

vs South Africa

1

W

1

D

0

L

Goals 00 all-time

Last meetings

  • Jun 11, 2026Mexico 20 South Africa
  • Jun 11, 2010South Africa 11 Mexico
vs South Korea

3

W

1

D

0

L

Goals 00 all-time

Last meetings

  • Jun 19, 2026Mexico 10 South Korea
  • Sep 10, 2025Mexico 22 South Korea
  • Jun 23, 2018South Korea 12 Mexico
vs Czech Republic

H2H intel unavailable for this pairing

Squad

26 players

Golden Boot contributors

Golden Boot

in progress · 7/18/2026

#PlayerTeamGAMinPos
1Lionel MessiArgentina60200
2Kylian MbappéFrance42266
2Ousmane DembéléFrance41213
2Vinícius JúniorBrazil41261
2Erling HaalandNorway40180
3Deniz UndavGermany3286
3Johan ManzambiSwitzerland31129
3Ismaïla SarrSenegal31246
3Brian BrobbeyNetherlands30161
3Matheus CunhaBrazil30169

INTEL

ATS splits, recent trends, scheduling notes.

ATS splits

ATS data unavailable

Trends

Trend data unavailable

Schedule context

Days rest
12
Back-to-back
No
Home streak
4
Away streak
0

As of 2026-07-18

Tournament history

World Cup · 2002–2022
YearFinishGPWDLGFGAGD
2022Group stage311123-1
2018Round of 16420236-3
2014Round of 16421153+2
2010Round of 16411245-1
2006Round of 164112550
2002Round of 164211440

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