Big Balls Bets

Ecuador

Group E · 3rd · 4 pts
Advancement62%
All groups

WC2026 · NERD

Ecuador

DWLLL

1

W

1

D

1

L

Elo rating

Updated · 9/28/2026

Elo rating

1638.1

Global rank

#19

Games counted

43

League

FIFA World Cup 2026

Stats

Goals / game

1.00

Against / game

0.81

BTTS %

35%

Over 2.5 %

33%

ATS

—

see Intel section below

O/U trend

—

see Intel section below

Qualification scenarios

Qualification scenarios

TeamStatusif Wif Dif LWhat they need
GermanyWin + favours94%81%65%Germany need a win against Curacao AND favourable results elsewhere to advance.
Ivory CoastWin + favours98%83%50%Ivory Coast need a win against Ecuador AND favourable results elsewhere to advance.
EcuadorWin + favours68%31%14%Ecuador need a win against Ivory Coast AND favourable results elsewhere to advance.
CuracaoWin + favours15%2%0%Curacao need a win against Germany AND favourable results elsewhere to advance.

Pure deterministic math — no model prediction

Upcoming

3 matches

Recent form

DDWWLDWLLL
DateCompetitionOpponentScoreResult
Sep 24, 2026Friendlies@ South Korea0–3L
Jul 1, 2026FIFA World Cup 2026@ Mexico0–2L
Jul 1, 2026FIFA World Cup 2026@ Mexico0–2L
Jun 25, 2026FIFA World Cup 2026vs Germany2–1W
Jun 21, 2026FIFA World Cup 2026vs Curacao0–0D
Jun 14, 2026FIFA World Cup 2026@ Ivory Coast0–1L
Jun 7, 2026Friendliesvs Guatemala3–0W
May 31, 2026Friendliesvs Saudi Arabia2–1W
Mar 31, 2026Friendlies@ Netherlands1–1D
Mar 27, 2026Friendlies@ Morocco1–1D

Head-to-head

vs Ivory CoastRevenge factor

0

W

0

D

1

L

Goals 0–0 all-time

Last meetings

  • Jun 14, 2026Ivory Coast 1–0 Ecuador
vs Curacao

0

W

1

D

0

L

Goals 0–0 all-time

Last meetings

  • Jun 21, 2026Ecuador 0–0 Curacao
vs Germany

1

W

0

D

1

L

Goals 0–0 all-time

Last meetings

  • Jun 25, 2026Ecuador 2–1 Germany
  • Jun 20, 2006Germany 3–0 Ecuador

Squad

26 players

Golden Boot contributors

Golden Boot

finished · 8/21/2026

#PlayerTeamGAMinPos
1Lionel MessiArgentina60200—
2Kylian MbappéFrance42266—
2Ousmane DembéléFrance41213—
2Vinícius JúniorBrazil41261—
2Erling HaalandNorway40180—
3Deniz UndavGermany3286—
3Johan ManzambiSwitzerland31129—
3Ismaïla SarrSenegal31246—
3Brian BrobbeyNetherlands30161—
3Matheus CunhaBrazil30169—

INTEL

ATS splits, recent trends, scheduling notes.

ATS splits

Overall
3-5-2
Home
0-3-0
Away
3-2-2
As favorite
1-4-0
As underdog
2-1-0

Trends

ATS L5
0-0-0
ATS L10
0-0-0
O/U L5
1-0-0
O/U L10
1-0-0

Schedule context

Days rest
13
Back-to-back
No
Home streak
0
Away streak
3

As of 2026-10-07

Tournament history

World Cup · 2002–2022
YearFinishGPWDLGFGAGD
2022Group stage311143+1
2014Group stage3111330
2006Round of 16420254+1
2002Group stage310224-2

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