Big Balls Bets

Ecuador

Group E · 3rd · 4 pts
Advancement63%
All groups

WC2026 · NERD

Ecuador

LDWLL

1

W

1

D

1

L

Elo rating

Updated · 7/15/2026

Elo rating

1639.0

Global rank

#16

Games counted

40

League

FIFA World Cup 2026

Stats

Goals / game

0.96

Against / game

0.78

BTTS %

36%

Over 2.5 %

29%

ATS

see Intel section below

O/U trend

see Intel section below

Qualification scenarios

Qualification scenarios

TeamStatusif Wif Dif LWhat they need
GermanyWin + favours94%81%65%Germany need a win against Curacao AND favourable results elsewhere to advance.
Ivory CoastWin + favours98%83%50%Ivory Coast need a win against Ecuador AND favourable results elsewhere to advance.
EcuadorWin + favours68%31%14%Ecuador need a win against Ivory Coast AND favourable results elsewhere to advance.
CuracaoWin + favours15%2%0%Curacao need a win against Germany AND favourable results elsewhere to advance.

Pure deterministic math — no model prediction

Upcoming

3 matches

Recent form

DDWDDLDWLL
DateCompetitionOpponentScoreResult
Jul 1, 2026FIFA World Cup 2026@ Mexico0–2L
Jul 1, 2026FIFA World Cup 2026@ Mexico0–2L
Jun 25, 2026FIFA World Cup 2026vs Germany2–1W
Jun 21, 2026FIFA World Cup 2026vs Curacao0–0D
Jun 14, 2026FIFA World Cup 2026@ Ivory Coast0–1L
Mar 31, 2026Friendlies@ Netherlands1–1D
Mar 27, 2026Friendlies@ Morocco1–1D
Nov 19, 2025Friendliesvs New Zealand2–0W
Nov 14, 2025Friendlies@ Canada0–0D
Oct 15, 2025Friendlies@ Mexico1–1D

Head-to-head

vs Ivory CoastRevenge factor

0

W

0

D

1

L

Goals 00 all-time

Last meetings

  • Jun 14, 2026Ivory Coast 10 Ecuador
vs Curacao

0

W

1

D

0

L

Goals 00 all-time

Last meetings

  • Jun 21, 2026Ecuador 00 Curacao
vs Germany

1

W

0

D

1

L

Goals 00 all-time

Last meetings

  • Jun 25, 2026Ecuador 21 Germany
  • Jun 20, 2006Germany 30 Ecuador

Squad

26 players

Golden Boot contributors

Golden Boot

in progress · 7/18/2026

#PlayerTeamGAMinPos
1Lionel MessiArgentina60200
2Kylian MbappéFrance42266
2Ousmane DembéléFrance41213
2Vinícius JúniorBrazil41261
2Erling HaalandNorway40180
3Deniz UndavGermany3286
3Johan ManzambiSwitzerland31129
3Ismaïla SarrSenegal31246
3Brian BrobbeyNetherlands30161
3Matheus CunhaBrazil30169

INTEL

ATS splits, recent trends, scheduling notes.

ATS splits

Overall
0-3-0
Home
0-1-0
Away
0-2-0
As favorite
0-2-0
As underdog
0-1-0

Trends

ATS L5
0-0-0
ATS L10
0-0-0
O/U L5
0-0-0
O/U L10
0-0-0

Schedule context

Days rest
17
Back-to-back
No
Home streak
0
Away streak
2

As of 2026-07-18

Tournament history

World Cup · 2002–2022
YearFinishGPWDLGFGAGD
2022Group stage311143+1
2014Group stage3111330
2006Round of 16420254+1
2002Group stage310224-2

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