Big Balls Bets

Australia

Group D · 2nd · 4 pts
Advancement68%
All groups

WC2026 · NERD

Australia

WLDLD

1

W

1

D

1

L

Elo rating

Updated · 9/28/2026

Elo rating

1621.3

Global rank

#25

Games counted

52

League

FIFA World Cup 2026

Stats

Goals / game

1.41

Against / game

1.14

BTTS %

41%

Over 2.5 %

41%

ATS

—

see Intel section below

O/U trend

—

see Intel section below

Qualification scenarios

Qualification scenarios

TeamStatusif Wif Dif LWhat they need
United StatesWin + favours98%85%62%United States need a win against Paraguay AND favourable results elsewhere to advance.
AustraliaWin + favours77%50%23%Australia need a win against Turkey AND favourable results elsewhere to advance.
ParaguayWin + favours67%36%19%Paraguay need a win against United States AND favourable results elsewhere to advance.
TurkeyWin + favours54%23%7%Turkey need a win against Australia AND favourable results elsewhere to advance.

Pure deterministic math — no model prediction

Upcoming

3 matches

Recent form

LWWLDWLDLD
DateCompetitionOpponentScoreResult
Sep 25, 2026Friendliesvs Brazil1–1D
Jul 3, 2026FIFA World Cup 2026vs Egypt3–5L
Jun 26, 2026FIFA World Cup 2026@ Paraguay0–0D
Jun 19, 2026FIFA World Cup 2026@ United States0–2L
Jun 14, 2026FIFA World Cup 2026vs Turkey2–0W
Jun 6, 2026Friendlies@ Switzerland1–1D
May 31, 2026Friendlies@ Mexico0–1L
Mar 31, 2026FIFA Seriesvs Curacao5–1W
Mar 27, 2026FIFA Seriesvs Cameroon1–0W
Nov 19, 2025Friendlies@ Colombia0–3L

Head-to-head

vs Turkey

1

W

0

D

0

L

Goals 0–0 all-time

Last meetings

  • Jun 14, 2026Australia 2–0 Turkey
vs United StatesRevenge factor

0

W

0

D

2

L

Goals 0–0 all-time

Last meetings

  • Jun 19, 2026United States 2–0 Australia
  • Oct 15, 2025United States 2–1 Australia
vs Paraguay

0

W

1

D

0

L

Goals 0–0 all-time

Last meetings

  • Jun 26, 2026Paraguay 0–0 Australia

Squad

26 players

Golden Boot contributors

Golden Boot

finished · 8/21/2026

#PlayerTeamGAMinPos
1Lionel MessiArgentina60200—
2Kylian MbappéFrance42266—
2Ousmane DembéléFrance41213—
2Vinícius JúniorBrazil41261—
2Erling HaalandNorway40180—
3Deniz UndavGermany3286—
3Johan ManzambiSwitzerland31129—
3Ismaïla SarrSenegal31246—
3Brian BrobbeyNetherlands30161—
3Matheus CunhaBrazil30169—

INTEL

ATS splits, recent trends, scheduling notes.

ATS splits

Overall
4-2-0
Home
2-1-0
Away
2-1-0
As favorite
0-0-0
As underdog
4-2-0

Trends

ATS L5
1-0-0
ATS L10
1-0-0
O/U L5
0-0-0
O/U L10
0-0-0

Schedule context

Days rest
14
Back-to-back
No
Home streak
2
Away streak
0

As of 2026-10-09

Tournament history

World Cup · 2002–2022
YearFinishGPWDLGFGAGD
2022Round of 16420246-2
2018Group stage301225-3
2014Group stage300339-6
2010Group stage311136-3
2006Round of 16411256-1