Big Balls Bets

South Africa

Group A · 2nd · 4 pts
Advancement65%
All groups

WC2026 · NERD

South Africa

DLDWL

1

W

1

D

1

L

Elo rating

Updated · 9/28/2026

Elo rating

1563.2

Global rank

#35

Games counted

60

League

FIFA World Cup 2026

off-season — rating unchanged since the last match played on 2026-06-06 (123 days ago); last_computed reflects when the ratings job last ran, not new results

Stats

Goals / game

1.36

Against / game

0.94

BTTS %

47%

Over 2.5 %

39%

ATS

—

see Intel section below

O/U trend

—

see Intel section below

Qualification scenarios

Qualification scenarios

TeamStatusif Wif Dif LWhat they need
MexicoAvoid a loss100%100%98%Mexico are through with a win or a draw against South Africa; a loss would put them at risk.
South AfricaWin + favours73%52%37%South Africa need a win against Mexico AND favourable results elsewhere to advance.
South KoreaWin + favours58%39%15%South Korea need a win against Czech Republic AND favourable results elsewhere to advance.
Czech RepublicWin + favours23%5%0%Czech Republic need a win against South Korea AND favourable results elsewhere to advance.

Pure deterministic math — no model prediction

Upcoming

3 matches

Recent form

WLDLDDLDWL
DateCompetitionOpponentScoreResult
Jun 28, 2026FIFA World Cup 2026vs Canada0–1L
Jun 25, 2026FIFA World Cup 2026vs South Korea1–0W
Jun 18, 2026FIFA World Cup 2026@ Czech Republic1–1D
Jun 11, 2026FIFA World Cup 2026@ Mexico0–2L
Jun 6, 2026Friendlies@ Jamaica1–1D
May 29, 2026Friendliesvs Nicaragua0–0D
Mar 31, 2026Friendliesvs Panama1–2L
Mar 27, 2026Friendliesvs Panama1–1D
Jan 4, 2026Africa Cup of Nationsvs Cameroon1–2L
Dec 29, 2025Africa Cup of Nations@ Zimbabwe3–2W

Head-to-head

vs MexicoRevenge factor

0

W

1

D

1

L

Goals 0–0 all-time

Last meetings

  • Jun 11, 2026Mexico 2–0 South Africa
  • Jun 11, 2010South Africa 1–1 Mexico
vs Czech Republic

0

W

1

D

0

L

Goals 0–0 all-time

Last meetings

  • Jun 18, 2026Czech Republic 1–1 South Africa
vs South Korea

1

W

0

D

0

L

Goals 0–0 all-time

Last meetings

  • Jun 25, 2026South Africa 1–0 South Korea

Squad

26 players

Golden Boot contributors

Golden Boot

finished · 8/21/2026

#PlayerTeamGAMinPos
1Lionel MessiArgentina60200—
2Kylian MbappéFrance42266—
2Ousmane DembéléFrance41213—
2Vinícius JúniorBrazil41261—
2Erling HaalandNorway40180—
3Deniz UndavGermany3286—
3Johan ManzambiSwitzerland31129—
3Ismaïla SarrSenegal31246—
3Brian BrobbeyNetherlands30161—
3Matheus CunhaBrazil30169—

INTEL

ATS splits, recent trends, scheduling notes.

ATS splits

Overall
3-2-0
Home
1-1-0
Away
2-1-0
As favorite
1-0-0
As underdog
2-2-0

Trends

ATS L5
0-0-0
ATS L10
1-0-0
O/U L5
0-0-0
O/U L10
0-0-0

Schedule context

Days rest
101
Back-to-back
No
Home streak
2
Away streak
0

As of 2026-10-07

Tournament history

World Cup · 2002–2022
YearFinishGPWDLGFGAGD
2010Group stage311135-2
2002Group stage3111550

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