Big Balls Bets

Senegal

Group I · 3rd · 3 pts
Advancement69%
All groups

WC2026 · NERD

Senegal

WLLWL

1

W

0

D

2

L

Elo rating

Updated · 7/15/2026

Elo rating

1715.7

Global rank

#7

Games counted

58

League

FIFA World Cup 2026

Stats

Goals / game

1.76

Against / game

0.79

BTTS %

44%

Over 2.5 %

45%

ATS

see Intel section below

O/U trend

see Intel section below

Qualification scenarios

Qualification scenarios

TeamStatusif Wif Dif LWhat they need
FranceAvoid a loss100%100%97%France are through with a win or a draw against Senegal; a loss would put them at risk.
NorwayWin + favours88%75%58%Norway need a win against Iraq AND favourable results elsewhere to advance.
SenegalWin + favours43%21%13%Senegal need a win against France AND favourable results elsewhere to advance.
IraqWin + favours5%0%0%Iraq need a win against Norway AND favourable results elsewhere to advance.

Pure deterministic math — no model prediction

Upcoming

3 matches

Recent form

WWWDWWLLWL
DateCompetitionOpponentScoreResult
Jul 1, 2026FIFA World Cup 2026@ Belgium2–3L
Jun 26, 2026FIFA World Cup 2026vs Iraq5–0W
Jun 23, 2026FIFA World Cup 2026@ Norway2–3L
Jun 16, 2026FIFA World Cup 2026@ France1–3L
Mar 31, 2026Friendliesvs Gambia3–1W
Mar 28, 2026Friendliesvs Peru2–0W
Jan 18, 2026Africa Cup of Nationsvs Morocco0–0D
Jan 14, 2026Africa Cup of Nationsvs Egypt1–0W
Jan 9, 2026Africa Cup of Nations@ Mali1–0W
Jan 3, 2026Africa Cup of Nationsvs Sudan3–1W

Head-to-head

vs FranceRevenge factor

1

W

0

D

1

L

Goals 00 all-time

Last meetings

  • Jun 16, 2026France 31 Senegal
  • May 31, 2002France 01 Senegal
vs NorwayRevenge factor

0

W

0

D

1

L

Goals 00 all-time

Last meetings

  • Jun 23, 2026Norway 32 Senegal
vs Iraq

1

W

0

D

0

L

Goals 00 all-time

Last meetings

  • Jun 26, 2026Senegal 50 Iraq

Squad

26 players

Golden Boot contributors

Golden Boot

in progress · 7/18/2026

#PlayerTeamGAMinPos
1Lionel MessiArgentina60200
2Kylian MbappéFrance42266
2Ousmane DembéléFrance41213
2Vinícius JúniorBrazil41261
2Erling HaalandNorway40180
3Deniz UndavGermany3286
3Johan ManzambiSwitzerland31129
3Ismaïla SarrSenegal31246
3Brian BrobbeyNetherlands30161
3Matheus CunhaBrazil30169

INTEL

ATS splits, recent trends, scheduling notes.

ATS splits

Overall
2-2-0
Home
1-0-0
Away
1-2-0
As favorite
0-1-0
As underdog
2-1-0

Trends

ATS L5
1-0-0
ATS L10
1-0-0
O/U L5
1-0-0
O/U L10
1-0-0

Schedule context

Days rest
17
Back-to-back
No
Home streak
0
Away streak
1

As of 2026-07-18

Tournament history

World Cup · 2002–2022
YearFinishGPWDLGFGAGD
2022Round of 16420257-2
2018Group stage3111440
2002Quarter Final522176+1

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