Big Balls Bets

Senegal

Group I · 3rd · 3 pts
Advancement67%
All groups

WC2026 · NERD

Senegal

DLLWL

1

W

0

D

2

L

Elo rating

Updated · 9/28/2026

Elo rating

1697.9

Global rank

#7

Games counted

60

League

FIFA World Cup 2026

off-season — rating unchanged since the last match played on 2026-06-09 (121 days ago); last_computed reflects when the ratings job last ran, not new results

Stats

Goals / game

1.73

Against / game

0.81

BTTS %

44%

Over 2.5 %

45%

ATS

—

see Intel section below

O/U trend

—

see Intel section below

Qualification scenarios

Qualification scenarios

TeamStatusif Wif Dif LWhat they need
FranceAvoid a loss100%100%97%France are through with a win or a draw against Senegal; a loss would put them at risk.
NorwayWin + favours88%75%58%Norway need a win against Iraq AND favourable results elsewhere to advance.
SenegalWin + favours43%21%13%Senegal need a win against France AND favourable results elsewhere to advance.
IraqWin + favours5%0%0%Iraq need a win against Norway AND favourable results elsewhere to advance.

Pure deterministic math — no model prediction

Upcoming

3 matches

Recent form

WDWWLDLLWL
DateCompetitionOpponentScoreResult
Jul 1, 2026FIFA World Cup 2026@ Belgium2–3L
Jun 26, 2026FIFA World Cup 2026vs Iraq5–0W
Jun 23, 2026FIFA World Cup 2026@ Norway2–3L
Jun 16, 2026FIFA World Cup 2026@ France1–3L
Jun 9, 2026Friendlies@ Saudi Arabia0–0D
May 31, 2026Friendlies@ United States2–3L
Mar 31, 2026Friendliesvs Gambia3–1W
Mar 28, 2026Friendliesvs Peru2–0W
Jan 18, 2026Africa Cup of Nationsvs Morocco0–0D
Jan 14, 2026Africa Cup of Nationsvs Egypt1–0W

Head-to-head

vs FranceRevenge factor

1

W

0

D

1

L

Goals 0–0 all-time

Last meetings

  • Jun 16, 2026France 3–1 Senegal
  • May 31, 2002France 0–1 Senegal
vs NorwayRevenge factor

0

W

0

D

1

L

Goals 0–0 all-time

Last meetings

  • Jun 23, 2026Norway 3–2 Senegal
vs Iraq

1

W

0

D

0

L

Goals 0–0 all-time

Last meetings

  • Jun 26, 2026Senegal 5–0 Iraq

Squad

26 players

Golden Boot contributors

Golden Boot

finished · 8/21/2026

#PlayerTeamGAMinPos
1Lionel MessiArgentina60200—
2Kylian MbappéFrance42266—
2Ousmane DembéléFrance41213—
2Vinícius JúniorBrazil41261—
2Erling HaalandNorway40180—
3Deniz UndavGermany3286—
3Johan ManzambiSwitzerland31129—
3Ismaïla SarrSenegal31246—
3Brian BrobbeyNetherlands30161—
3Matheus CunhaBrazil30169—

INTEL

ATS splits, recent trends, scheduling notes.

ATS splits

Overall
2-3-0
Home
2-0-0
Away
0-3-0
As favorite
1-0-0
As underdog
1-3-0

Trends

ATS L5
0-0-0
ATS L10
0-0-0
O/U L5
1-0-0
O/U L10
1-0-0

Schedule context

Days rest
99
Back-to-back
No
Home streak
0
Away streak
1

As of 2026-10-08

Tournament history

World Cup · 2002–2022
YearFinishGPWDLGFGAGD
2022Round of 16420257-2
2018Group stage3111440
2002Quarter Final522176+1

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