Big Balls Bets

Japan

Group F · 2nd · 5 pts
Advancement71%
All groups

WC2026 · NERD

Japan

DWDLW

1

W

2

D

0

L

Elo rating

Updated · 9/28/2026

Elo rating

1679.3

Global rank

#12

Games counted

58

League

FIFA World Cup 2026

Stats

Goals / game

1.97

Against / game

0.94

BTTS %

45%

Over 2.5 %

55%

ATS

—

see Intel section below

O/U trend

—

see Intel section below

Qualification scenarios

Qualification scenarios

TeamStatusif Wif Dif LWhat they need
NetherlandsWin to advance100%95%78%Netherlands need a win against Japan to clinch advancement.
JapanWin + favours88%62%50%Japan need a win against Netherlands AND favourable results elsewhere to advance.
SwedenWin + favours60%35%21%Sweden need a win against Tunisia AND favourable results elsewhere to advance.
TunisiaWin + favours10%0%0%Tunisia need a win against Sweden AND favourable results elsewhere to advance.

Pure deterministic math — no model prediction

Upcoming

3 matches

Recent form

No recent results available.

Head-to-head

vs Netherlands

0

W

1

D

1

L

Goals 0–0 all-time

Last meetings

  • Jun 14, 2026Netherlands 2–2 Japan
  • Jun 19, 2010Netherlands 1–0 Japan
vs Tunisia

2

W

0

D

0

L

Goals 0–0 all-time

Last meetings

  • Jun 21, 2026Tunisia 0–4 Japan
  • Jun 14, 2002Japan 2–0 Tunisia
vs Sweden

0

W

1

D

0

L

Goals 0–0 all-time

Last meetings

  • Jun 25, 2026Japan 1–1 Sweden

Squad

26 players

Golden Boot contributors

Golden Boot

finished · 8/21/2026

#PlayerTeamGAMinPos
1Lionel MessiArgentina60200—
2Kylian MbappéFrance42266—
2Ousmane DembéléFrance41213—
2Vinícius JúniorBrazil41261—
2Erling HaalandNorway40180—
3Deniz UndavGermany3286—
3Johan ManzambiSwitzerland31129—
3Ismaïla SarrSenegal31246—
3Brian BrobbeyNetherlands30161—
3Matheus CunhaBrazil30169—

INTEL

ATS splits, recent trends, scheduling notes.

ATS splits

Overall
3-1-0
Home
1-0-0
Away
2-1-0
As favorite
1-0-0
As underdog
2-1-0

Trends

ATS L5
1-0-0
ATS L10
1-0-0
O/U L5
1-0-0
O/U L10
1-0-0

Schedule context

Days rest
13
Back-to-back
No
Home streak
1
Away streak
0

As of 2026-10-07

Tournament history

World Cup · 2002–2022
YearFinishGPWDLGFGAGD
2022Round of 16421154+1
2018Round of 16411267-1
2014Group stage301226-4
2010Round of 16421142+2
2006Group stage301227-5
2002Round of 16421153+2

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