Big Balls Bets

United States

Group D · 1st · 6 pts
Advancement60%
All groups

WC2026 · NERD

United States

WLWLW

2

W

0

D

1

L

Elo rating

Updated · 9/28/2026

Elo rating

1539.3

Global rank

#44

Games counted

74

League

FIFA World Cup 2026

Stats

Goals / game

1.41

Against / game

1.59

BTTS %

60%

Over 2.5 %

56%

ATS

—

see Intel section below

O/U trend

—

see Intel section below

Qualification scenarios

Qualification scenarios

TeamStatusif Wif Dif LWhat they need
United StatesWin + favours98%85%62%United States need a win against Paraguay AND favourable results elsewhere to advance.
AustraliaWin + favours77%50%23%Australia need a win against Turkey AND favourable results elsewhere to advance.
ParaguayWin + favours67%36%19%Paraguay need a win against United States AND favourable results elsewhere to advance.
TurkeyWin + favours54%23%7%Turkey need a win against Australia AND favourable results elsewhere to advance.

Pure deterministic math — no model prediction

Upcoming

3 matches

Recent form

LLWLWWLWLW
DateCompetitionOpponentScoreResult
Sep 26, 2026Friendliesvs Peru4–1W
Jul 7, 2026FIFA World Cup 2026vs Belgium1–4L
Jul 2, 2026FIFA World Cup 2026vs Bosnia and Herzegovina2–0W
Jun 26, 2026FIFA World Cup 2026@ Turkey2–3L
Jun 19, 2026FIFA World Cup 2026vs Australia2–0W
Jun 13, 2026FIFA World Cup 2026vs Paraguay4–1W
Jun 6, 2026Friendliesvs Germany1–2L
May 31, 2026Friendliesvs Senegal3–2W
Mar 31, 2026Friendliesvs Portugal0–2L
Mar 28, 2026Friendliesvs Belgium2–5L

Head-to-head

vs Paraguay

3

W

0

D

0

L

Goals 0–0 all-time

Last meetings

  • Jun 13, 2026United States 4–1 Paraguay
  • Nov 15, 2025United States 2–1 Paraguay
  • Jul 17, 1930Paraguay 0–3 United States
vs Australia

2

W

0

D

0

L

Goals 0–0 all-time

Last meetings

  • Jun 19, 2026United States 2–0 Australia
  • Oct 15, 2025United States 2–1 Australia
vs Turkey

H2H intel unavailable for this pairing

Squad

26 players

Golden Boot contributors

Golden Boot

finished · 8/21/2026

#PlayerTeamGAMinPos
1Lionel MessiArgentina60200—
2Kylian MbappéFrance42266—
2Ousmane DembéléFrance41213—
2Vinícius JúniorBrazil41261—
2Erling HaalandNorway40180—
3Deniz UndavGermany3286—
3Johan ManzambiSwitzerland31129—
3Ismaïla SarrSenegal31246—
3Brian BrobbeyNetherlands30161—
3Matheus CunhaBrazil30169—

INTEL

ATS splits, recent trends, scheduling notes.

ATS splits

ATS data unavailable

Trends

Trend data unavailable

Schedule context

Days rest
12
Back-to-back
No
Home streak
3
Away streak
0

As of 2026-10-08

Tournament history

World Cup · 2002–2022
YearFinishGPWDLGFGAGD
2022Round of 16412134-1
2014Round of 16411256-1
2010Round of 164121550
2006Group stage301226-4
2002Quarter Final5212770

Did you know?

  • The United States will co-host the 2026 FIFA World Cup with Canada and Mexico.

    source: fifa.com