Big Balls Bets

United States

Group D · 1st · 6 pts
Advancement58%
All groups

WC2026 · NERD

United States

WWLWL

2

W

0

D

1

L

Elo rating

Updated · 7/15/2026

Elo rating

1524.9

Global rank

#45

Games counted

71

League

FIFA World Cup 2026

Stats

Goals / game

1.35

Against / game

1.59

BTTS %

58%

Over 2.5 %

54%

ATS

see Intel section below

O/U trend

see Intel section below

Qualification scenarios

Qualification scenarios

TeamStatusif Wif Dif LWhat they need
United StatesWin + favours98%85%62%United States need a win against Paraguay AND favourable results elsewhere to advance.
AustraliaWin + favours77%50%23%Australia need a win against Turkey AND favourable results elsewhere to advance.
ParaguayWin + favours67%36%19%Paraguay need a win against United States AND favourable results elsewhere to advance.
TurkeyWin + favours54%23%7%Turkey need a win against Australia AND favourable results elsewhere to advance.

Pure deterministic math — no model prediction

Upcoming

3 matches

Recent form

WWWLLWWLWL
DateCompetitionOpponentScoreResult
Jul 7, 2026FIFA World Cup 2026vs Belgium1–4L
Jul 2, 2026FIFA World Cup 2026vs Bosnia and Herzegovina2–0W
Jun 26, 2026FIFA World Cup 2026@ Turkey2–3L
Jun 19, 2026FIFA World Cup 2026vs Australia2–0W
Jun 13, 2026FIFA World Cup 2026vs Paraguay4–1W
Mar 31, 2026Friendliesvs Portugal0–2L
Mar 28, 2026Friendliesvs Belgium2–5L
Nov 19, 2025Friendliesvs Uruguay5–1W
Nov 15, 2025Friendliesvs Paraguay2–1W
Oct 15, 2025Friendliesvs Australia2–1W

Head-to-head

vs Paraguay

3

W

0

D

0

L

Goals 00 all-time

Last meetings

  • Jun 13, 2026United States 41 Paraguay
  • Nov 15, 2025United States 21 Paraguay
  • Jul 17, 1930Paraguay 03 United States
vs Australia

2

W

0

D

0

L

Goals 00 all-time

Last meetings

  • Jun 19, 2026United States 20 Australia
  • Oct 15, 2025United States 21 Australia
vs Turkey

H2H intel unavailable for this pairing

Squad

26 players

Golden Boot contributors

Golden Boot

in progress · 7/18/2026

#PlayerTeamGAMinPos
1Lionel MessiArgentina60200
2Kylian MbappéFrance42266
2Ousmane DembéléFrance41213
2Vinícius JúniorBrazil41261
2Erling HaalandNorway40180
3Deniz UndavGermany3286
3Johan ManzambiSwitzerland31129
3Ismaïla SarrSenegal31246
3Brian BrobbeyNetherlands30161
3Matheus CunhaBrazil30169

INTEL

ATS splits, recent trends, scheduling notes.

ATS splits

ATS data unavailable

Trends

Trend data unavailable

Schedule context

Days rest
11
Back-to-back
No
Home streak
2
Away streak
0

As of 2026-07-18

Tournament history

World Cup · 2002–2022
YearFinishGPWDLGFGAGD
2022Round of 16412134-1
2014Round of 16411256-1
2010Round of 164121550
2006Group stage301226-4
2002Quarter Final5212770

Did you know?

  • The United States will co-host the 2026 FIFA World Cup with Canada and Mexico.

    source: fifa.com