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Group standings

All 12 groups · advancement probability · recent form

Group L

10K Monte Carlo · 4 teams

PositionTeamPWDLGDPtsFormP(1st)P(adv)P(out)
1England3210+47WD100%100%0%
2Croatia320106WW0%100%0%
3Ghana311104LD0%0%0%
4Panama3003-40LL0%0%100%

Qualification scenarios

TeamStatusif Wif Dif LWhat they need
EnglandWin to advance100%92%75%England need a win against Croatia to clinch advancement.
CroatiaWin + favours93%65%52%Croatia need a win against England AND favourable results elsewhere to advance.
GhanaWin + favours60%35%21%Ghana need a win against Panama AND favourable results elsewhere to advance.
PanamaWin + favours7%0%0%Panama need a win against Ghana AND favourable results elsewhere to advance.

Pure deterministic math — no model prediction

Tiebreakers: points → goal difference → goals scored → Elo (interim). FIFA's head-to-head + fair-play tiebreakers apply when the matches touched produce a tie; this consumer-side sort doesn't model them.