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Group standings

All 12 groups · advancement probability · recent form

Group L

10K Monte Carlo · 4 teams

PositionTeamPWDLGDPtsFormP(1st)P(adv)P(out)
1England2110+24DW57%94%0%
2Ghana2110+14DW16%45%0%
3Croatia2101-13WL27%61%5%
4Panama2002-20LL0%0%95%

Qualification scenarios

TeamStatusif Wif Dif LWhat they need
EnglandWin + favours86%49%19%England need a win against Croatia AND favourable results elsewhere to advance.
GhanaWin + favours93%81%69%Ghana need a win against Panama AND favourable results elsewhere to advance.
CroatiaWin + favours94%68%36%Croatia need a win against England AND favourable results elsewhere to advance.
PanamaWin + favours5%0%0%Panama need a win against Ghana AND favourable results elsewhere to advance.

Pure deterministic math — no model prediction

Tiebreakers: points → goal difference → goals scored → Elo (interim). FIFA's head-to-head + fair-play tiebreakers apply when the matches touched produce a tie; this consumer-side sort doesn't model them.