Big Balls Bets

Group standings

All 12 groups · advancement probability · recent form

Group J

10K Monte Carlo · 4 teams

PositionTeamPWDLGDPtsFormP(1st)P(adv)P(out)
1Argentina3300+79WW100%100%0%
2Austria311104DL0%100%0%
3Algeria3111-24DW0%0%0%
4Jordan3003-50LL0%0%100%

Qualification scenarios

TeamStatusif Wif Dif LWhat they need
ArgentinaAvoid a loss100%100%97%Argentina are through with a win or a draw against Algeria; a loss would put them at risk.
AustriaWin + favours75%52%35%Austria need a win against Jordan AND favourable results elsewhere to advance.
AlgeriaWin + favours62%40%27%Algeria need a win against Argentina AND favourable results elsewhere to advance.
JordanWin + favours12%1%0%Jordan need a win against Austria AND favourable results elsewhere to advance.

Pure deterministic math — no model prediction

Tiebreakers: points → goal difference → goals scored → Elo (interim). FIFA's head-to-head + fair-play tiebreakers apply when the matches touched produce a tie; this consumer-side sort doesn't model them.