Big Balls Bets

Group standings

All 12 groups · advancement probability · recent form

Group J

10K Monte Carlo · 4 teams

PositionTeamPWDLGDPtsFormP(1st)P(adv)P(out)
1Argentina2200+56WW83%100%0%
2Austria210103LW8%60%9%
3Algeria2101-23WL9%40%8%
4Jordan2002-30LL0%0%83%

Qualification scenarios

TeamStatusif Wif Dif LWhat they need
ArgentinaWin + favours99%84%53%Argentina need a win against Algeria AND favourable results elsewhere to advance.
AustriaWin + favours79%63%49%Austria need a win against Jordan AND favourable results elsewhere to advance.
AlgeriaWin + favours85%54%33%Algeria need a win against Argentina AND favourable results elsewhere to advance.
JordanWin + favours2%0%0%Jordan need a win against Austria AND favourable results elsewhere to advance.

Pure deterministic math — no model prediction

Tiebreakers: points → goal difference → goals scored → Elo (interim). FIFA's head-to-head + fair-play tiebreakers apply when the matches touched produce a tie; this consumer-side sort doesn't model them.