Group standings

All 12 groups · advancement probability · recent form

Group I

10K Monte Carlo · 4 teams

Position	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts	Form	P(1st)	P(adv)	P(out)
1	France	2	2	0	+5	6	WW	76%	100%	0%
2	Norway	2	2	0	+4	6	WW	24%	100%	0%
3	Senegal	2	0	2	-3	0	LL	0%	0%	22%
4	Iraq	2	0	2	-6	0	LL	0%	0%	78%

Qualification scenarios

Team	Status	if W	if D	if L	What they need
France	Win to advance	100%	98%	90%	France need a win against Senegal to clinch advancement.
Norway	Win to advance	100%	98%	88%	Norway need a win against Iraq to clinch advancement.
Senegal	Win + favours	12%	1%	0%	Senegal need a win against France AND favourable results elsewhere to advance.
Iraq	Win + favours	11%	1%	0%	Iraq need a win against Norway AND favourable results elsewhere to advance.

Tiebreakers: points → goal difference → goals scored → Elo (interim). FIFA's head-to-head + fair-play tiebreakers apply when the matches touched produce a tie; this consumer-side sort doesn't model them.