Big Balls Bets

Group standings

All 12 groups · advancement probability · recent form

Group G

10K Monte Carlo · 4 teams

PositionTeamPWDLGDPtsFormP(1st)P(adv)P(out)
1Belgium2110+44WD50%82%0%
2Egypt2110+24WD26%65%0%
3Iran00000024%53%26%
4New Zealand2002-60LL0%0%74%

Qualification scenarios

TeamStatusif Wif Dif LWhat they need
BelgiumAvoid a loss100%100%89%Belgium are through with a win or a draw against Egypt; a loss would put them at risk.
EgyptWin to advance100%89%89%Egypt need a win against Belgium to clinch advancement.
IranOutIran cannot advance from this group.
New ZealandWin + favours11%11%11%New Zealand need a win AND favourable results elsewhere to advance.

Pure deterministic math — no model prediction

Tiebreakers: points → goal difference → goals scored → Elo (interim). FIFA's head-to-head + fair-play tiebreakers apply when the matches touched produce a tie; this consumer-side sort doesn't model them.