Big Balls Bets

Group standings

All 12 groups · advancement probability · recent form

Group G

10K Monte Carlo · 4 teams

PositionTeamPWDLGDPtsFormP(1st)P(adv)P(out)
1Egypt2110+24WD36%70%1%
2Belgium101001D27%54%23%
3Iran00000029%53%26%
4New Zealand1001-20L8%23%49%

Qualification scenarios

TeamStatusif Wif Dif LWhat they need
EgyptThrough100%100%100%Egypt have already advanced.
BelgiumWin to advance100%44%22%Belgium need a win against Egypt to clinch advancement.
IranWin + favours67%22%0%Iran need a win against Egypt AND favourable results elsewhere to advance.
New ZealandWin + favours15%15%15%New Zealand need a win AND favourable results elsewhere to advance.

Pure deterministic math — no model prediction

Tiebreakers: points → goal difference → goals scored → Elo (interim). FIFA's head-to-head + fair-play tiebreakers apply when the matches touched produce a tie; this consumer-side sort doesn't model them.