WORLD CUP 2026 Β· NERD MODE
LIVE MATCHES
GROUP STAGE PREDICTIONS
TEAM ELO RATINGS
GROUP STANDINGS
RECENT FORM
WORLD CUP 2026 Β· NERD MODE
LIVE MATCHES
GROUP STAGE PREDICTIONS
TEAM ELO RATINGS
GROUP STANDINGS
RECENT FORM
WORLD CUP 2026
LIVE MATCHES
TOURNAMENT FAVORITES
Top 8 by win-cup probability β Elo Monte Carlo across 10,000 simulated tournaments.
#01 Β· GRP H
Spain11.6%
to win cup
#02 Β· GRP I
France11.5%
to win cup
#03 Β· GRP F
Netherlands8.1%
to win cup
#04 Β· GRP E
Germany7.9%
to win cup
#05 Β· GRP J
Argentina6.6%
to win cup
#06 Β· GRP C
Morocco6.4%
to win cup
#07 Β· GRP I
Senegal4.8%
to win cup
#08 Β· GRP L
England3.8%
to win cup
BEST BETS
The model's three highest-confidence picks across the field.
GROUP STAGE PREDICTIONS
Match-by-match win / draw / loss probabilities and Elo edge.
| Matchup | Kickoff | Home % | Draw % | Away % | Elo Ξ | Conf | Value | View |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GermanyvsCuracao | β | 62.9% | 22.7% | 14.4% | +184 | 0.485 | STRONG | Analyze |
| QatarvsSwitzerland | β | 19.8% | 24.6% | 55.6% | -130 | 0.358 | LEAN | Analyze |
| NetherlandsvsJapan | β | 48.6% | 26.5% | 25.0% | +84 | 0.236 | β | Analyze |
| United StatesvsParaguay | β | 26.9% | 27.1% | 46.0% | -67 | 0.192 | β | Analyze |
| BrazilvsMorocco | β | 27.4% | 27.3% | 45.3% | -62 | 0.178 | β | Analyze |
| AustraliavsTurkey | β | 30.2% | 28.3% | 41.5% | -40 | 0.114 | TOSS UP | Analyze |
| South KoreavsCzech Republic | β | 41.5% | 28.3% | 30.2% | +40 | 0.113 | TOSS UP | Analyze |
| HaitivsScotland | β | 41.4% | 28.3% | 30.3% | +39 | 0.112 | TOSS UP | Analyze |
| MexicovsSouth Africa | β | 40.9% | 28.5% | 30.6% | +35 | 0.102 | TOSS UP | Analyze |
| CanadavsBosnia and Herzegovina | β | 38.4% | 29.1% | 32.5% | +20 | 0.059 | TOSS UP | Analyze |
TEAM ELO RATINGS
Derived from per-match Elo values in the predictions feed.
| Rank | Team | Elo | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | Netherlands | 1753 | 1 |
| 02 | Germany | 1747 | 1 |
| 03 | Morocco | 1733 | 1 |
| 04 | Brazil | 1671 | 1 |
| 05 | Turkey | 1669 | 1 |
| 06 | Japan | 1669 | 1 |
| 07 | Australia | 1629 | 1 |
| 08 | Mexico | 1605 | 1 |
| 09 | South Korea | 1601 | 1 |
| 10 | Switzerland | 1601 | 1 |
| 11 | Paraguay | 1592 | 1 |
| 12 | South Africa | 1570 | 1 |
| 13 | Curacao | 1563 | 1 |
| 14 | Czech Republic | 1561 | 1 |
| 15 | Canada | 1545 | 1 |
| 16 | Haiti | 1530 | 1 |
| 17 | Bosnia and Herzegovina | 1525 | 1 |
| 18 | United States | 1525 | 1 |
| 19 | Scotland | 1491 | 1 |
| 20 | Qatar | 1471 | 1 |
GROUP STANDINGS
Played, won, drawn, lost, goals for / against, points.
Standings open with kickoff.
Group standings will update when the tournament begins June 2026.
RECENT FORM
Last international results across the World Cup field.
2026-05-24
LIVE
Liverpool
Brentford2026-05-24
SCHEDULED
West Ham United FC
Leeds United2026-05-24
SCHEDULED
Tottenham Hotspur FC
Everton2026-05-24
SCHEDULED
Nottingham Forest FC
AFC Bournemouth2026-05-24
FINAL
Crystal Palace
Arsenal2026-05-24
LIVE
Sunderland
Chelsea2026-05-24
SCHEDULED
Brighton & Hove Albion FC
Manchester United FC2026-05-24
SCHEDULED
Burnley
Wolverhampton Wanderers FC2026-05-24
SCHEDULED
Fulham
Newcastle United FC2026-05-24
SCHEDULED
Parma
Sassuolo2026-05-24
SCHEDULED
RC Celta de Vigo
Sevilla FC2026-05-24
SCHEDULED
Villarreal
Club AtlΓ©tico de Madrid2026-05-24
SCHEDULED
Valencia
FC Barcelona2026-05-24
SCHEDULED
Real Madrid
Athletic Club2026-05-24
SCHEDULED
Mallorca
Real Oviedo2026-05-24
SCHEDULED
Real Betis
Levante2026-05-24
SCHEDULED
Getafe
Osasuna2026-05-24
SCHEDULED
Espanyol
Real Sociedad2026-05-24
SCHEDULED
AlavΓ©s
Rayo Vallecano2026-05-24
SCHEDULED
Girona
Elche