Toronto Maple Leafs @ Vegas Golden Knights

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AI summary · only the facts on this page

Toronto Maple Leafs

3-2-1

Final

3 – 4

Vegas Golden Knights

5-1-0

TOR puck

—

VGK puck

—

O/U

—

TOR ML

—

VGK ML

—

Elo Δ

+115

The context

Rest: TOR 2d · VGK 2d
Line · since open: Spread -1.5 → -1.5Total 6.5 → 7.5(+1)VGK ML +2 → +2(+0.18)

Key player form

Top scorer each side · recent form, tier, line vs opponent

William NylanderTOR leader · 1.2 pts/gm

Jack EichelVGK leader · 1.2 pts/gm

Best line · Moneyline

Shopping 25 books

Vegas Golden Knights
-156Best price
Toronto Maple Leafs
+160Best price

Starting goalies

Projected · #1 factor in hockey

Away · TOR

Joseph Woll

G·3 GPRegularSmall sample

SV%: —
GA/g: —
SV/g: —
SO: 0

Home · VGK

Carter Hart

G·3 GPRegularSmall sample

SV%: —
GA/g: —
SV/g: —
SO: 0

Lineups & team stats

Stat:

Away · TOR38 skaters + goalies

Forwards (20)

POS	PLAYER	SOG	TOI	G	A	PTS	HIT	BLK	+/−	SOG Line
C	Nicolas Roy	—	—	0.2	0.2	0.4	1.2	—	—	—
L	Matthew Knies	—	—	0.3	0.5	0.8	2.0	—	—	—
C	Jacob Quillan	—	—	0.0	0.1	0.2	2.0	—	—	—
C	John TavaresGTD	—	—	0.4	0.5	0.9	1.1	—	—	—
C	Steven Lorentz	—	—	0.1	0.1	0.3	2.3	—	—	—
C	Luke Haymes	—	—	0	0.3	0.3	0.8	—	—	—
L	Matias Maccelli	—	—	0.2	0.4	0.6	0.3	—	—	—
L	Sammy Blais	—	—	0.1	0.2	0.3	3.6	—	—	—
C	Bo Groulx	—	—	0.1	0.1	0.3	2.3	—	—	—
R	William Nylander	—	—	0.5	0.7	1.2	0.3	—	—	—
C	Bobby McMann	—	—	0.3	0.2	0.5	2.4	—	—	—
C	Dakota JoshuaOUT	—	—	0.2	0.2	0.3	3.5	—	—	—
L	Nick Robertson	—	—	0.2	0.2	0.4	1	—	—	—
C	Scott Laughton	—	—	0.1	0.1	0.3	2.3	—	—	—
C	Auston Matthews	—	—	0.5	0.6	1	1.0	—	—	—
C	Calle Jarnkrok	—	—	0.1	0.1	0.2	0.8	—	—	—
C	Max DomiOUT	—	—	0.2	0.3	0.5	0.6	—	—	—
RW	Easton Cowan	—	—	0.2	0.3	0.5	1.1	—	—	—
C	Ryan Tverberg	—	—	0.3	0.3	0.5	0.8	—	—	—
LW	Michael Pezzetta	—	—	0	0.1	0.1	3.1	—	—	—

Defense (13)

POS	PLAYER	SOG	TOI	G	A	PTS	HIT	BLK	+/−	SOG Line
D	Jake McCabe	—	—	0.1	0.3	0.3	1.5	—	—	—
D	Troy Stecher	—	—	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.6	—	—	—
D	Marshall Rifai	—	—	0	0.3	0.3	0.7	—	—	—
D	Oliver Ekman-Larsson	—	—	0.1	0.3	0.4	1.3	—	—	—
D	Henry Thrun	—	—	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.7	—	—	—
D	Philippe Myers	—	—	0.0	0.0	0.1	1.4	—	—	—
D	Chris TanevOUT	—	—	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.4	—	—	—
D	Simon Benoit	—	—	0.0	0.1	0.1	2.6	—	—	—
D	William VilleneuveOUT	—	—	0	0	0	0.3	—	—	—
D	Matt Benning	—	—	0	0	0	0	—	—	—
D	Dakota Mermis	—	—	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.9	—	—	—
D	Brandon Carlo	—	—	0	0.1	0.1	1.2	—	—	—
D	Morgan Rielly	—	—	0.1	0.3	0.5	0.5	—	—	—

Goalies (5)

Player	GP	SV/g	GA/g
Artur Akhtyamov	5	—	—
Dennis Hildeby	45	—	—
Anthony Stolarz	69	—	—
Joseph Woll	84	—	—
Cayden Primeau	14	—	—

Home · VGK38 skaters + goalies

Forwards (22)

POS	PLAYER	SOG	TOI	G	A	PTS	HIT	BLK	+/−	SOG Line
C	Tomas Hertl	—	—	0.3	0.4	0.7	1.7	—	—	—
C	Colton Sissons	—	—	0.1	0.1	0.2	1.8	—	—	—
L	Ivan Barbashev	—	—	0.2	0.4	0.6	2.3	—	—	—
C	Brett Howden	—	—	0.3	0.1	0.5	2.0	—	—	—
C	William Karlsson	—	—	0.2	0.3	0.5	0.3	—	—	—
R	Jonas Rondbjerg	—	—	0	0.1	0.1	0.1	—	—	—
C	Raphael Lavoie	—	—	0.3	0	0.3	1.3	—	—	—
C	Tanner Laczynski	—	—	0	0.6	0.6	0.2	—	—	—
R	Cole Smith	—	—	0.1	0.1	0.2	3.0	—	—	—
R	Reilly Smith	—	—	0.2	0.2	0.4	0.6	—	—	—
R	Mitch Marner	—	—	0.3	0.7	1.1	0.6	—	—	—
C	Nic Dowd	—	—	0.1	0.2	0.3	2.0	—	—	—
R	Mark Stone	—	—	0.4	0.6	1.0	0.9	—	—	—
R	Keegan Kolesar	—	—	0.1	0.1	0.2	3.4	—	—	—
L	Trevor Connelly	—	—	0.2	0.2	0.4	0.3	—	—	—
C	Jack Eichel	—	—	0.3	0.9	1.2	0.6	—	—	—
R	Alexander Holtz	—	—	0.1	0.2	0.3	0.9	—	—	—
R	Pavel Dorofeyev	—	—	0.5	0.3	0.7	0.4	—	—	—
R	Braeden Bowman	—	—	0.1	0.3	0.5	0.3	—	—	—
L	Cole Reinhardt	—	—	0.2	0.1	0.3	2.2	—	—	—
L	Brandon Saad	—	—	0.1	0.2	0.3	0.3	—	—	—
C	Kai Uchacz	—	—	0	0	0	2.3	—	—	—

Defense (11)

POS	PLAYER	SOG	TOI	G	A	PTS	HIT	BLK	+/−	SOG Line
D	Shea Theodore	—	—	0.1	0.5	0.6	0.1	—	—	—
D	Dylan Coghlan	—	—	0.1	0.1	0.2	0.7	—	—	—
D	Jeremy Davies	—	—	0	0	0	0	—	—	—
D	Noah Hanifin	—	—	0.1	0.3	0.4	0.7	—	—	—
D	Jaycob Megna	—	—	0	0	0	0.8	—	—	—
D	Rasmus Andersson	—	—	0.1	0.3	0.5	0.4	—	—	—
D	Kaedan Korczak	—	—	0.0	0.2	0.3	1.4	—	—	—
D	Jeremy Lauzon	—	—	0.0	0.1	0.1	3.6	—	—	—
D	Zach Whitecloud	—	—	0.0	0.2	0.2	1.7	—	—	—
D	Ben Hutton	—	—	0.1	0.1	0.2	0.5	—	—	—
D	Brayden McNabb	—	—	0.1	0.2	0.3	1.8	—	—	—

Goalies (5)

Player	GP	SV/g	GA/g
Adin Hill	86	—	—
JVJesper Vikman	0	—	—
Carl Lindbom	21	—	—
Carter Hart	54	—	—
Akira Schmid	87	—	—

Away · TOR

3-2-1

2d rest

Home · VGK

5-1-0

2d rest

Season per-game stats

Away · TOR	Stat	Home · VGK
3.1	Goals / game	3.2
3.4	Opp goals / game	2.9
26.3	Shots / game	28.6
21.9%	PP%	24.7%
54.8%	FOW%	50.6%
24.5	Hits / game	23.8
16.5	Blocks / game	15.3
9.3	PIM / game	7.3

Last 10

TORLWLWLWLWWL

VGKWLWWWWLWLW

Props by position

Market:

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Head to head

All-time series

8-8

VGK vs TOR (all-time)

Current season meetings

No meetings between these teams in the current season.

Lines

No lines posted yet. Check back closer to puck drop.

Intel

Elo model

TOR

1458

VGK

1573

Win probability

VGK wins 77.5%

TOR 22.5% · VGK 77.5%

Value Finder

No clean edge

Gap reads as a model artifact, not a market inefficiency — suppressed.

Magnitude is unvalidated — we only call leans inside the 3–10pp credible window.